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Property Crime Trends in Lisle, Illinois: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Lisle, located in Illinois, has experienced notable shifts in property crime rates alongside population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly by 52.5%, from 314 to 149 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 3.9%, from 34,557 to 35,897 residents.
Burglary incidents in the city have shown a fluctuating trend. In 2010, there were 34 burglaries, which decreased to 26 by 2019, representing a 23.5% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.98 to 0.72 over this period. Interestingly, while the number of burglaries decreased, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.11% in 2019. This suggests that while the city improved its burglary situation, it did so at a slower rate than the state average.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, saw a substantial decrease. In 2010, there were 264 larceny-theft incidents, which dropped to 116 by 2019, a 56.1% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 7.64 to 3.23. Despite this significant improvement, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents decreased only slightly from 0.16% to 0.08%, indicating that the reduction in larceny-theft was part of a broader state-wide trend.
Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a variable pattern. In 2010, there were 16 incidents, which reduced to 7 by 2019, a 56.3% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 0.46 to 0.19. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased only slightly from 0.07% to 0.05%, suggesting that the reduction in motor vehicle theft was generally in line with state-wide improvements.
Arson incidents in the city remained consistently low, with only one reported case in most years where data was available. The rate per 1,000 people remained near zero throughout the period. The city's share of state arson cases fluctuated between 0% and 0.11%, indicating that arson was not a significant concern for the city relative to other areas in the state.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income increased from $94,523 in 2013 to $105,888 in 2019, total property crimes decreased from 229 to 149. This suggests that rising economic prosperity may contribute to lower crime rates.
Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the decrease in property crimes and the slight increase in the Asian population, which grew from 13% in 2013 to 15% in 2019. However, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and this trend may be influenced by various socioeconomic factors.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that property crime rates will continue to decrease over the next five years (until 2029). The total number of property crimes could potentially drop below 100 incidents per year, with larceny-theft remaining the most common but significantly reduced form of property crime.
In summary, Lisle has demonstrated a strong positive trend in reducing property crime rates across all categories, outpacing its population growth. The most significant improvements were seen in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft. These trends, coupled with rising median incomes and shifting demographics, suggest a continuing improvement in public safety for the community. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for sustaining the quality of life for its residents.
