Motor vehicle theft in the city showed fluctuations but an overall decrease. There were 2 incidents in 2010, which reduced to 1 in 2013. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.46 in 2010 to 0.25 in 2013. Interestingly, despite the decrease in absolute numbers, the city's percentage of state motor vehicle thefts remained at 0.02% in 2010 and 0.01% in 2013, indicating that the reduction was consistent with state-wide trends.

Arson incidents were not reported in the data provided for Liberty during the period from 2010 to 2013, suggesting either an absence of such crimes or incomplete reporting.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 1,263 per square mile in 2013 to 1,536 in 2022, property crime rates showed a significant decline. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between declining home ownership rates and reduced property crime. The percentage of owner-occupied homes decreased from 76% in 2013 to 58% in 2022, coinciding with the overall reduction in property crimes.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it is projected that by 2029, Liberty may see a further reduction in property crimes. Burglaries could potentially decrease to near-zero levels, while larceny-theft might stabilize at around 10 incidents per year. Motor vehicle thefts are expected to remain low, possibly averaging less than one incident annually.

In summary, Liberty has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates over the analyzed period. The most significant reductions were observed in burglaries and larceny-thefts, with motor vehicle thefts also showing a decline. These positive trends, coupled with increasing population density and changing home ownership patterns, suggest that the city has made substantial progress in enhancing public safety and reducing property-related crimes.