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Property Crime Trends in Landrum, SC: A Decade of Decline Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Landrum, located in South Carolina, has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, alongside notable population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 50.53%, from 95 to 47 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 14.63%, from 3,281 to 3,761 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a general decline over the years. In 2010, there were 17 burglaries, which decreased to 8 in 2022, representing a 52.94% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 5.18 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 2.13 per 1,000 in 2022. However, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.11% in 2010 to 0.12% in 2022, suggesting that while local burglaries decreased, they did not fall as rapidly as the state average.
Larceny-theft incidents also decreased over the observed period. In 2010, there were 74 larceny-theft cases, which dropped to 34 in 2022, a 54.05% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people declined from 22.55 in 2010 to 9.04 in 2022. The city's percentage of state larceny-theft cases decreased from 0.13% to 0.08% during this period, indicating a faster decline in larceny-theft compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft showed a slight increase over time. In 2010, there were 4 motor vehicle thefts, which increased to 5 in 2022, a 25% increase. The rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 1.22 in 2010 to 1.33 in 2022 due to population growth. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.09% to 0.10%, suggesting a relative increase compared to state trends.
Arson cases in the city were rare, with only 2 incidents reported in 2010 and no reported cases in subsequent years. This represents a 100% decrease in arson cases. The city's share of state arson cases was 0.83% in 2010, dropping to 0% in later years, indicating a significant improvement relative to state trends.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime rates and racial demographics. As the white population percentage increased from 86% in 2013 to 94% in 2022, overall property crime rates decreased. Additionally, there seems to be an inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. As median income rose from $39,341 in 2013 to $43,290 in 2020, property crime rates generally decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary and larceny-theft are expected to continue their downward trend, while motor vehicle theft may stabilize or slightly increase. Arson cases are predicted to remain rare or non-existent.
In summary, Landrum has shown significant improvements in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. These positive trends, coupled with population growth and increasing median income, suggest a generally improving safety and economic environment in the city. However, ongoing vigilance will be necessary to address the slight uptick in motor vehicle thefts and to maintain the low rates of other property crimes.
