Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively stable, with 4 incidents in 2010 and 3 in 2022. However, when considering population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.73 in 2010 to 0.48 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.07% to 0.04% during this period, suggesting that the city's performance in this category has improved relative to the state average.

Arson data for the city is limited, with most years showing "No Data Available" or zero incidents. This lack of consistent data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's median income increased from $68,497 in 2013 to $65,292 in 2022, a slight decrease of 4.7%. During this same period, property crimes decreased by 27.3%, suggesting a potential inverse relationship between income levels and property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing units decreased from 90% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, which coincides with the overall decrease in property crimes. This could indicate that changes in home ownership rates may have a complex relationship with property crime trends.

Racial demographics show a slight decrease in the white population from 94% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, accompanied by an increase in the black population from 3% to 9%. This shift in racial composition occurred alongside the overall decrease in property crimes, suggesting that demographic changes may have influenced crime trends in complex ways.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, we can forecast that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a further reduction in overall property crimes to around 18-20 incidents annually. Burglaries are expected to stabilize at 5-6 cases per year, while larceny-theft may continue its downward trend to approximately 10-12 incidents annually. Motor vehicle theft is projected to remain relatively stable at 2-3 cases per year.

In conclusion, Lake View has demonstrated a generally positive trend in reducing property crimes over the past decade, outpacing its population growth. The most significant improvements have been seen in larceny-theft, while burglary and motor vehicle theft have shown more modest declines. These trends, coupled with changes in demographic and economic factors, paint a picture of a community that has made strides in improving public safety, though challenges remain in maintaining and furthering this progress in the coming years.