Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a slight increase, from 3 incidents in 2010 to 4 in 2022, a 33.3% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 2.03 to 2.73. More notably, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.03% to 0.02%, indicating that despite the local increase, the city is contributing less to the state's overall motor vehicle theft problem. This could suggest a need for targeted prevention measures specific to vehicle security.

Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only one reported incident in 2019, representing 0.19% of state arsons that year. The lack of consistent arson data makes it difficult to establish a meaningful trend or draw significant conclusions about this specific crime type in the city.

Examining correlations between crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's median income increased from $32,631 in 2013 to $44,366 in 2022, a 36% rise. During this period, overall property crime rates fluctuated but showed a general downward trend, suggesting a possible inverse relationship between income levels and property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing units decreased slightly from 76% in 2013 to 68% in 2022, which could potentially influence property crime rates, though the correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see total property crimes decrease to approximately 45-50 incidents per year, assuming current socioeconomic conditions and crime prevention efforts remain consistent.

In summary, Kimball has shown resilience in the face of property crime, with overall rates declining despite some fluctuations in specific categories. The most significant improvements have been in burglary and larceny-theft, while motor vehicle theft presents an area for potential focused prevention efforts. The inverse correlation between rising median income and declining property crime rates is a positive indicator for the community's future. As the city continues to evolve, maintaining and enhancing current crime prevention strategies will be crucial in sustaining and improving upon these positive trends.