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Property Crime Trends in Hypoluxo, Florida: A Decade of Fluctuations and Overall Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hypoluxo, located in Florida, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 49 in 2010 and ending at 40 in 2020, representing an 18.4% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 4,161 in 2010 to 4,262.5 in 2020, a modest increase of 2.4%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown significant volatility over the years. In 2010, there were 8 burglaries reported, which peaked at 41 in 2015, before dramatically declining to 11 in 2020. This represents a 37.5% increase from 2010 to 2020. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents increased from 1.92 in 2010 to 2.58 in 2020. The city's share of state burglaries also grew, from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2020, indicating a disproportionate increase compared to statewide trends.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, displayed a downward trend. In 2010, there were 41 reported cases, which decreased to 29 in 2020, a 29.3% reduction. The larceny theft rate per 1,000 residents also declined from 9.85 in 2010 to 6.80 in 2020. However, the city's share of state larceny thefts remained stable at 0.01% in 2010 and 0.02% in 2020, suggesting that the decrease was in line with statewide trends.
Motor vehicle theft trends show an interesting pattern. There were no reported cases in 2010, but by 2019, the number had risen to 6. Curiously, in 2020, it dropped back to zero. Due to the fluctuations and small numbers, it's challenging to draw definitive conclusions about the trend. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts peaked at 0.05% in 2016 but returned to 0% by 2020.
Arson cases in the city were rare, with only two reported incidents over the entire period - one each in 2015 and 2016. This sporadic occurrence makes it difficult to identify any meaningful trends. However, it's worth noting that during these years, the city accounted for 0.12% of state arson cases, which is significant given its small population.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. For instance, as the median income rose from $48,566 in 2013 to $63,822 in 2021, overall property crime rates tended to decrease. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between the percentage of white residents and property crime rates, with both showing a general upward trend from 2013 to 2022.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are expected to continue their volatile pattern but with a general downward trend. Larceny theft is projected to remain the predominant property crime but with a continued gradual decline. Motor vehicle theft rates are anticipated to remain low but may experience occasional spikes.
In summary, Hypoluxo has experienced a general decline in property crime rates over the past decade, despite population growth. The most significant changes were observed in burglary rates, which showed high volatility, and larceny theft, which demonstrated a consistent downward trend. These trends, coupled with the correlations observed with demographic factors, suggest that the city's property crime landscape is evolving, potentially influenced by economic and social changes within the community.
