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Property Crime Trends in Hawk Point, Missouri: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hawk Point, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes in the city fluctuated significantly, starting at 13 in 2010, peaking at 31 in 2013, and ultimately dropping to 0 in 2020. This represents a 100% decrease in property crimes over this period. Concurrently, the population grew from 1,680 in 2010 to 1,956 in 2020, an increase of 16.4%.
Burglary trends in the city have shown notable variations. In 2010, there were 3 burglaries, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This number peaked at 5 in 2011 (0.02% of state total) but then decreased to 0 by 2020. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.79 in 2010 to 0 in 2020. This significant reduction in burglaries, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state totals, suggests improved security measures or changing criminal patterns in the city.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. In 2010, there were 10 larceny-theft incidents (0.01% of state total), which increased to a high of 30 in 2013 (0.03% of state total) before declining to 0 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 19.38 in 2013 but fell to 0 by 2020. This dramatic decrease in larceny-theft incidents, despite population growth, indicates a significant improvement in the city's ability to prevent or address this type of crime.
Motor vehicle theft has been consistently low in Hawk Point. From 2010 to 2020, there were no reported motor vehicle thefts, maintaining a 0% share of the state's total throughout this period. This absence of motor vehicle thefts, even as the population grew, suggests effective deterrence measures or possibly a lack of opportunity for this type of crime in the city.
Arson incidents have also been rare in the city. No arsons were reported from 2010 to 2020, except for 2018 when data was not available. This consistent absence of arson cases indicates a very low risk for this type of property crime in the community.
There appears to be a strong correlation between the decrease in property crimes and the increase in median income and home ownership rates. The median income rose from $58,415 in 2013 to $71,677 in 2020, while the percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 77% to 88% over the same period. This improvement in economic conditions coincides with the reduction in property crimes, suggesting that increased financial stability and home ownership may contribute to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the low crime rates observed in recent years. Given the city's consistent improvement in economic indicators and the sharp decline in property crimes to zero by 2020, it's projected that Hawk Point will likely maintain very low to zero property crime rates through 2029. However, as the population continues to grow, there may be a slight increase in isolated incidents, but these are expected to remain well below historical peaks.
In summary, Hawk Point has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates over the past decade. The complete elimination of reported property crimes by 2020, coupled with population growth and improving economic indicators, paints a picture of a community that has successfully addressed security concerns. These trends suggest that Hawk Point has become an increasingly safe place to live, with property crime rates that are significantly lower than state averages. The challenge for the future will be to maintain these low crime rates as the city continues to grow and develop.
