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Property Crime Trends in Hawesville, Kentucky: A Decade of Low Rates and Economic Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hawesville, located in Kentucky, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 7 incidents in 2020 to just 1 incident in 2022, representing an 85.7% reduction. During this same timeframe, the population experienced modest changes, starting at 2,508 in 2011 and ending at 2,406 in 2022, a slight overall decrease of 4.1%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown significant variability. In 2011, there were 2 burglaries reported, which decreased to 0 in 2016, but then rose again to 2 in 2019, before dropping to 1 in 2022. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.80 in 2011 to 0.42 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics has remained relatively low, ranging from 0% to 0.02% of the state total. This fluctuation suggests that while burglary is not a consistent problem, it remains an occasional concern for the community.
Larceny-theft trends have shown more stability, albeit with some variation. The number of incidents ranged from a high of 7 in 2020 to a low of 0 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 2.83 in 2020 and dropped to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics has remained minimal, consistently at or below 0.02% of the state total. This indicates that while larceny-theft has been the most common property crime in the city, its impact on state-level statistics is negligible.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been rare, with only one reported incident in 2014. This translates to a rate of 0.36 per 1,000 residents for that year. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics has been negligible, with most years showing 0% contribution and a maximum of 0.02% in 2014. The infrequency of these incidents suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the community.
Arson cases have been non-existent in the reported data, with zero incidents recorded from 2011 to 2022. Consequently, the city has not contributed to state arson statistics during this period. This absence of arson cases is a positive indicator for community safety and property protection.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's consistently high percentage of white residents (ranging from 93% to 96% throughout the period) coincides with relatively low property crime rates. Additionally, the increase in median income from $46,840 in 2013 to $56,201 in 2022 appears to correspond with the overall decrease in property crimes, suggesting a potential inverse relationship between economic well-being and property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the recent downward trend. Based on the sharp decrease observed from 2020 to 2022, it's projected that property crime rates will remain low, potentially stabilizing at 1-3 incidents per year. However, this projection should be interpreted cautiously due to the small numbers involved and the potential for significant percentage changes with minor numerical fluctuations.
In summary, Hawesville has experienced a notable reduction in property crimes over the past decade, with burglary and larceny-theft being the primary concerns. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal across all property crime categories. The correlation between rising median income and decreasing crime rates, coupled with the stable racial composition, suggests a community that has become increasingly secure in terms of property crime. As Hawesville moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
