Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Cave City, Kentucky: A Decade of Stability in a Small Municipality
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Cave City, Kentucky, is a small municipality with a population that has fluctuated between approximately 3,975 and 4,412 residents from 2010 to 2022. Over this period, the city experienced varying levels of violent crime, with total incidents ranging from 0 to 6 per year. The overall trend in violent crime has been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations year to year. Meanwhile, the population saw a modest growth of about 0.53% from 2010 to 2022, increasing from 3,975 to 3,996 residents.
Regarding murder trends, Cave City has maintained an exemplary record with zero reported cases of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This statistic is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, indicating that the city has consistently maintained a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The percentage of state crime for murder has remained at 0% throughout this period, suggesting that Cave City has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years, with reported cases ranging from 0 to 2 annually. The rape rate per 1,000 people has varied accordingly, reaching a peak of 0.49 per 1,000 in 2019 when 2 cases were reported with a population of 4,121. The percentage of state rape crimes attributed to Cave City has generally been low, typically around 0.11% to 0.15% when incidents occurred, with the highest being 0.21% in 2019. This suggests that while rape occurs occasionally in the city, it represents a small fraction of the state's total.
Robbery in Cave City has been infrequent, with most years reporting zero incidents. The highest number of robberies recorded was 2 in both 2013 and 2015. When robberies did occur, they represented between 0.06% and 0.1% of the state's total. The robbery rate per 1,000 people reached its maximum of 0.48 per 1,000 in 2013 when the population was 4,183. The sporadic nature of robbery in the city indicates that it is not a persistent problem.
Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in the city, with incidents ranging from 0 to 5 per year. The highest number of aggravated assaults (5) occurred in 2011 and 2018. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 1.26 in 2011 when the population was 3,981. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has varied, reaching a maximum of 0.38% in 2018. This suggests that while aggravated assault is more prevalent than other violent crimes in Cave City, it still represents a small portion of the state's total.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 901 per square mile in 2010 to 906 per square mile in 2022, there was a slight upward trend in violent crime incidents, though this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and assuming current conditions persist, we might expect murder rates to remain at or near zero, rape incidents to continue fluctuating between 0-2 cases annually, robbery to remain infrequent with 0-1 cases most years, and aggravated assault to vary between 1-5 cases per year.
In summary, Cave City has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common offense. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has been minimal across all categories of violent crime. While there have been fluctuations in crime rates, the overall trend suggests a stable, low-crime environment relative to the city's population size.
