Motor vehicle theft in the city remained relatively low throughout the period, with some fluctuations. Starting at 3 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 11 in 2011, and settled at 8 in 2022, representing a 166.7% increase over the 12-year span. However, given the small numbers, this percentage increase should be interpreted cautiously. The rate per 1,000 residents increased slightly from 0.20 in 2010 to 0.54 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts ranged from 0.01% to 0.08%, ending at 0.04% in 2022, suggesting that this crime category remained a relatively minor concern for the city compared to state levels.

Arson incidents in Glens Falls were sporadic and low in number throughout the period. There were no reported arsons in 2010, 2015, and 2021, with a maximum of 3 incidents reported in 2022. The city's contribution to state arson incidents fluctuated significantly, ranging from 0% to 0.65%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2022. Given the low numbers, it's difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density remained relatively stable, ranging from 3,761 to 3,868 people per square mile, showing no strong correlation with property crime rates. However, there appears to be a moderate inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $51,529 in 2013 to $60,933 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 343 to 121 during the same period.

The racial composition of the city remained predominantly white throughout the period, with a slight decrease from 94% in 2013 to 89% in 2022. This change coincided with the overall decrease in property crimes, but the correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that total property crimes could decrease by approximately 15-20% from the 2022 levels, potentially reaching around 100 incidents annually by 2029. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously, as various factors can influence crime rates.

In summary, Glens Falls has demonstrated a significant improvement in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. The city has outperformed state trends in some categories, suggesting effective local crime prevention strategies. While motor vehicle theft and arson remain relatively minor concerns, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial in maintaining and further improving the city's safety profile in the coming years.