Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Glasgow, Montana: A Decade of Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Glasgow, located in Montana, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the past decade, accompanied by minor population changes. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 28.57%, from 63 to 45 incidents. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly by 0.74% from 3,394 to 3,369 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variability. In 2010, there were 10 burglaries, which dropped to zero in 2014, before rising again to 9 in 2016. By 2022, burglaries had decreased to 2 incidents. The burglary rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, from 2.95 in 2010 to 0.59 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also varied, peaking at 0.54% in 2010 and falling to 0.13% by 2022. This volatility suggests that while burglary is not a consistent problem, it remains a concern that requires ongoing attention.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. However, it has shown a downward trend, decreasing from 52 incidents in 2010 to 39 in 2022, a 25% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people decreased from 15.32 in 2010 to 11.58 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft incidents decreased from 0.45% in 2010 to 0.31% in 2022, indicating that the city's larceny-theft problem has improved relative to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low but variable. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 1 in 2010, 2016, and 2020 to a high of 9 in 2011. In 2022, there were 4 motor vehicle thefts. The rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was 1.19, up from 0.29 in 2010. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.13% in 2010 to 0.26% in 2022, suggesting that while the absolute numbers remain low, the city's relative contribution to state totals has increased.
Arson incidents have been sporadic in the city. There were no reported arsons from 2010 to 2016. The first reported arsons occurred in 2017 and 2018, with 2 incidents each year. In 2022, there was 1 arson incident. The arson rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was 0.30. The city's contribution to state arson incidents was 1.12% in 2022, indicating that despite low numbers, the city had a disproportionate share of state arsons that year.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $44,338 in 2013 to $66,887 in 2017, property crime incidents decreased from 61 to 52. However, this correlation weakened in subsequent years. There is also a weak positive correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing and reduced property crime rates. As owner occupancy increased from 57% in 2013 to 67% in 2022, property crime incidents generally decreased, with some fluctuations.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a slight downward trend in overall property crime incidents. Larceny-theft is expected to continue its gradual decline, while burglary and motor vehicle theft rates may stabilize at current levels. Arson incidents are projected to remain low but unpredictable due to their sporadic nature.
In summary, Glasgow has seen an overall improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade, with notable reductions in larceny-theft and burglary. The city's property crime rates have generally improved relative to state averages, although motor vehicle theft has become a slightly larger proportion of the state total. The correlation between rising incomes and homeownership with reduced crime rates suggests that continued economic development and community stability may contribute to further reductions in property crime in the coming years.
