Regarding motor vehicle theft, the city reported no incidents in 2022. This absence of motor vehicle thefts, similar to burglaries, contributes 0% to the state's total and results in a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The lack of motor vehicle thefts is a positive indicator for the city's overall safety profile, especially considering its small population and limited urban area.

Arson incidents were also not reported in the city for 2022, with 0 cases recorded. This translates to a 0% contribution to the state's total arson cases and a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The absence of arson cases is particularly noteworthy in a small community where such incidents could have significant impacts.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city has experienced a general decline in population density, from 162 people per square mile in 2019 to 147 in 2022. Concurrently, the median income has shown an overall increase, rising from $54,680 in 2019 to $55,179 in 2022. This increase in median income, coupled with a decrease in population density, may contribute to the low property crime rates observed.

The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with a slight decrease from 90% in 2019 to 89% in 2022. The percentage of owner-occupied housing has decreased from 89% in 2019 to 82% in 2022. While these changes are notable, their direct correlation with property crime trends is not strongly evident given the limited crime data available.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2027) suggests that if current conditions persist, the city may continue to experience low levels of property crime, primarily in the form of larceny-theft. The absence of burglaries, motor vehicle thefts, and arson incidents is likely to continue, barring significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.

In summary, Gilbertown demonstrates a relatively low property crime profile, with larceny-theft being the primary concern. The absence of other forms of property crime, coupled with increasing median income and stable racial composition, suggests a community that has maintained a relatively safe environment despite some fluctuations in population and housing ownership. These trends provide valuable insights for local law enforcement and policymakers in maintaining and potentially improving the city's safety and security measures.