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Property Crime Trends in Frisco City, Alabama: A Decade of Mixed Changes
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Frisco City, Alabama, a small town with a population of 3,241 in 2022, has experienced notable changes in its property crime landscape over recent years. From 2014 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 45.16%, from 31 to 17 incidents. During this same period, the population declined by 12.14%, from 3,689 to 3,241 residents.
The burglary rate in the city has shown fluctuations over time. In 2014, there were 4 burglaries reported, which increased to 6 in 2022, representing a 50% increase. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate rose from 1.08 per 1,000 people in 2014 to 1.85 per 1,000 people in 2022. Despite this increase, the city's contribution to state-wide burglaries grew from 0.02% in 2014 to 0.05% in 2022, indicating a higher relative impact on state statistics despite the overall decline in population.
Larceny-theft incidents have shown a significant decrease over the years. In 2014, there were 25 reported cases, which dropped to 10 in 2022, marking a 60% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people also decreased from 6.78 in 2014 to 3.09 in 2022. The city's share of state-wide larceny-theft incidents decreased from 0.03% to 0.02%, suggesting an improvement in this category relative to state trends.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low. There were 2 reported cases in 2014, which decreased to 1 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 0.54 in 2014 to 0.31 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.03% to 0.01%, indicating a positive trend in this category.
Arson data for the city is limited, with no reported cases in recent years. This suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 915 per square mile in 2014 to 804 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime. This could suggest that lower population density may contribute to reduced property crime rates.
The median income in the city increased from $29,976 in 2014 to $31,427 in 2022, while property crimes decreased. This positive correlation between rising income and decreasing crime rates aligns with general criminological theories that suggest improved economic conditions can lead to reduced property crime.
The percentage of owner-occupied housing units increased significantly from 71% in 2014 to 84% in 2022. This increase in homeownership coincides with the overall decrease in property crimes, potentially indicating that higher rates of homeownership contribute to community stability and lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates if current socioeconomic trends continue. The burglary rate may continue to fluctuate but is expected to remain relatively low. Larceny-theft incidents are projected to stabilize or decrease further, while motor vehicle theft is likely to remain at very low levels.
In summary, Frisco City has experienced a significant overall decrease in property crimes despite some fluctuations in specific categories. The most important discoveries include the substantial decrease in larceny-theft, the slight increase in burglaries, and the positive correlations between rising median income, increased homeownership, and decreased crime rates. These trends, combined with the overall population decline, paint a picture of a small town that has made progress in reducing property crime while facing ongoing demographic changes.
