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Property Crime Trends in Adamsville, Alabama: A Decade of Decreasing Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Adamsville, a city in Alabama, has witnessed significant changes in property crime rates over the past decade, coinciding with shifts in its population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased by 21.77%, from 294 to 230 incidents. During this same period, the city's population declined by 4.97%, from 9,046 to 8,596 residents.
Burglary rates in Adamsville have shown a marked decline over the years. In 2010, there were 21 burglaries reported, which spiked to 61 in 2011. However, by 2022, this number had decreased to 18, representing a 14.29% reduction from 2010 levels. When adjusting for population changes, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 2.32 in 2010 to 2.09 in 2022. Despite this overall decrease, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.09% in 2010 to 0.16% in 2022, indicating that while local efforts may have reduced burglaries, the city's relative contribution to state totals has grown.
Larceny theft, the most prevalent property crime in Adamsville, has displayed a more volatile trend. In 2010, there were 250 reported cases, which peaked at 321 in 2014 before declining to 195 in 2022, marking a 22% decrease over the 12-year period. The larceny theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 27.64 in 2010 to 22.68 in 2022. However, the city's share of state larceny thefts increased from 0.34% to 0.42% during this period, suggesting that while local numbers have decreased, the city's contribution to state totals has grown.
Motor vehicle theft in Adamsville has fluctuated but ultimately decreased over the observed period. From 23 incidents in 2010, it dropped to a low of 9 in 2014, before rising again to 17 in 2022, representing a 26.09% overall decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 2.54 in 2010 to 1.98 in 2022. Despite this local decrease, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts has notably decreased from 0.39% in 2010 to 0.25% in 2022, indicating that while local efforts may have reduced these crimes, the city's relative contribution to state totals has decreased less dramatically.
Arson data for Adamsville is limited, with only one reported incident in 2011, representing 0.36% of state arsons that year. The lack of consistent data precludes meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Analysis of correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 345 per square mile in 2010 to 327 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates, suggesting a potential link between population density and crime rates. Additionally, the median income increased from $47,641 in 2013 to $56,445 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes, potentially indicating that improved economic conditions may contribute to lower crime rates.
Predictive models forecasting property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggest a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on current trends, burglaries and larceny thefts are expected to continue declining, while motor vehicle thefts may stabilize or show a slight increase. However, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously as they are based on historical data and do not account for potential unforeseen factors that could influence crime rates.
In conclusion, Adamsville has experienced a general downward trend in property crimes over the past decade, with notable decreases in burglaries and larceny thefts. This trend has occurred alongside population decline and increasing median income. While the city's share of state property crimes has fluctuated, local efforts appear to have been effective in reducing crime rates within the community. These findings highlight the complex interplay between demographic changes, economic factors, and crime rates in shaping the city's safety landscape.
