Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Dyersburg, Tennessee: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Dyersburg, located in Tennessee, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, total property crimes decreased by 46.2%, from 1,490 to 801 incidents. During this same period, the population declined by 6.5%, from 22,925 to 21,433 residents, suggesting a complex relationship between crime rates and demographic changes.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 371 burglaries, which decreased to 176 by 2022, representing a 52.6% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 16.2 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 8.2 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decline, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.86% in 2010 to 1.31% in 2022, indicating that burglary rates may have decreased more rapidly in other parts of Tennessee.
Larceny-theft incidents also experienced a substantial decrease over the years. In 2010, there were 1,071 larceny-theft cases, which dropped to 572 by 2022, a 46.6% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 46.7 in 2010 to 26.7 in 2022. However, similar to burglary, the city's proportion of state larceny-theft incidents decreased slightly from 0.91% in 2010 to 0.75% in 2022, suggesting a slower rate of decline compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more volatile. In 2010, there were 48 motor vehicle thefts, which increased to 53 by 2022, a 10.4% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 2.1 in 2010 to 2.5 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.45% to 0.30%, indicating that this type of crime may have increased more rapidly in other parts of Tennessee.
Arson cases in the city have remained relatively low but fluctuated over the years. In 2010, there were 3 arson cases, which remained the same in 2022. However, the rate per 1,000 residents increased slightly from 0.13 in 2010 to 0.14 in 2022 due to the population decrease. The city's proportion of state arson cases increased from 0.40% in 2010 to 0.56% in 2022, suggesting a higher relative incidence compared to the state average.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 1,323 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,237 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that lower population density may be associated with reduced property crime incidence.
Additionally, there appears to be a correlation between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $38,404 in 2013 to $45,487 in 2022, there was a general decline in property crime rates, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. This suggests that improved economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued overall decline in property crime rates. Burglary and larceny-theft are expected to continue their downward trend, albeit at a slower pace. Motor vehicle theft rates may stabilize or slightly increase, while arson cases are likely to remain low but could see minor fluctuations.
In summary, Dyersburg has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crime rates from 2010 to 2022, with burglary and larceny-theft showing the most substantial decreases. The city's share of state crime percentages has fluctuated, indicating varying rates of change compared to the rest of Tennessee. The correlations between decreasing population density, increasing median income, and declining property crime rates suggest that demographic and economic factors play a role in shaping the city's crime landscape. As the city moves forward, continued attention to these trends and their underlying factors will be crucial in maintaining and further improving public safety.
