Motor vehicle theft remained consistently at 0 incidents from 2010 to 2012, resulting in a 0% contribution to state figures and a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents throughout this period. This stability suggests effective prevention or absence of this particular crime type in the small community.

Similarly, arson cases were reported as 0 from 2010 to 2012, maintaining a 0% contribution to state figures and a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. This consistency indicates either successful fire prevention measures or a lack of arson incidents in the town.

When examining correlations, a strong relationship emerges between population density and property crime rates. As the population density increased from 586 per square mile in 2010 to 607 per square mile in 2012, total property crimes rose from 3 to 8. This suggests that higher population density may contribute to increased property crime incidents in the town.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a potential continuation of the upward trend in overall property crimes, particularly in larceny-theft. Based on the historical data, we might expect to see total property crimes reach 12-15 incidents annually by 2029, with larceny-theft potentially accounting for the majority of these cases.

In summary, Cumberland Gap has experienced a notable increase in property crimes, primarily driven by a rise in larceny-theft incidents. While burglary rates have fluctuated, motor vehicle theft and arson have remained absent. The correlation between population density and crime rates suggests that as the town grows, it may face challenges in maintaining low crime levels. These trends underscore the importance of targeted crime prevention strategies, particularly focusing on larceny-theft, to ensure the safety and security of this small but historically significant community.