Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Doerun, Georgia: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Doerun, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2012 to 2022, the city experienced a significant decrease in total property crimes, dropping from 37 incidents in 2012 to just 7 in 2022, representing an 81% reduction. This substantial decline occurred against a backdrop of modest population growth, with the city's population increasing from 2,188 in 2012 to 2,197 in 2022, a 0.4% increase.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable downward trend. In 2012, there were 4 burglaries reported, which decreased to just 1 in 2022, marking a 75% reduction. When adjusted for population, this translates to a decrease from 1.83 burglaries per 1,000 residents in 2012 to 0.45 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary incidents remained relatively low, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.06% of the state's total, with the highest percentage (0.06%) recorded in 2013. This overall decline in burglaries suggests improved security measures or increased community vigilance.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also saw a significant decrease. In 2012, there were 30 larceny-theft incidents, which dropped to 4 in 2022, an 86.7% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 13.71 in 2012 to 1.82 in 2022. The city's share of state-wide larceny-theft incidents remained low, ranging from 0.01% to 0.03% over the years. This substantial decrease in larceny-theft could indicate improved local policing strategies or enhanced community awareness.
Motor vehicle theft trends showed some fluctuation but an overall decrease. From 3 incidents in 2012, it dropped to 2 in 2022, a 33.3% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.37 in 2012 to 0.91 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft incidents varied, reaching as high as 0.03% in 2012 and dropping to 0% in some years before rising to 0.02% in 2022. This volatility might be due to the small number of incidents, where even minor changes can result in significant percentage shifts.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the period from 2012 to 2022, indicating either an absence of such crimes or potential underreporting. This consistent zero rate suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $32,970 in 2018 to $49,312 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 9 to 7. However, this correlation is not strong enough to definitively link income levels to crime rates. The racial distribution of the city also saw changes, with the white population decreasing from 79% in 2013 to 68% in 2022, while the black population increased from 11% to 19% over the same period. However, there's no clear correlation between these demographic shifts and property crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that property crime rates in Doerun will continue to decline or stabilize at low levels over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of property crimes could potentially decrease to around 5-6 incidents annually, assuming current trends and efforts in crime prevention continue.
In summary, Doerun has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crimes from 2012 to 2022, with notable decreases in burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft. This positive trend, occurring alongside modest population growth and increasing median income, suggests effective local crime prevention strategies and community engagement. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will likely be a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.
