Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a fluctuating trend but ultimately decreased from 18 incidents in 2010 to 10 in 2022, a 44.44% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 3.01 in 2010 to 1.61 in 2022. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.08% to 0.14%, suggesting that the city's improvement in this category was slower than the state average.

Arson incidents in the city were rare, with only one year (2016) reporting any cases (3 incidents). This makes it difficult to establish a meaningful trend or comparative analysis for arson in the city.

There appears to be a correlation between property crime rates and median income in the city. As median income increased from $41,578 in 2013 to $51,667 in 2022, the overall property crime rate decreased. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the overall downward trend to continue, albeit at a slower rate. Based on the historical data, we might anticipate total property crimes to decrease by approximately 15-20% from the 2022 level, potentially reaching around 102-109 incidents by 2029.

In summary, Daytona Beach Shores has made significant strides in reducing property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts. The city's improvements, however, have not kept pace with state averages in some categories. The correlation between rising median income and decreasing crime rates suggests that continued economic growth could further contribute to crime reduction. As the city moves forward, maintaining focus on economic development and targeted crime prevention strategies could help sustain and potentially accelerate the positive trends observed in property crime reduction.