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Property Crime Trends in Coffeeville, Alabama: A Decade of Dramatic Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Coffeeville, a small town in Alabama, has experienced significant changes in its property crime landscape over the years, coupled with fluctuations in population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased dramatically from 4 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population decreased from 1,476 to 1,277, a decline of approximately 13.5%.
The burglary rate in the city showed a notable decline over the observed period. In 2010, there were 2 reported burglaries, which translated to approximately 1.36 burglaries per 1,000 residents. By 2022, there were no reported burglaries, indicating a 100% decrease. The city's contribution to the state's total burglaries also decreased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0% in 2022. This significant reduction in burglaries, especially when considered alongside the population decline, suggests an improvement in local security measures or community vigilance.
Larceny-theft incidents also saw a complete elimination over the study period. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, equating to about 1.36 thefts per 1,000 residents. By 2022, no larceny-theft incidents were reported, marking a 100% decrease. The city's share of the state's larceny-theft cases remained at 0% throughout the period, indicating that these crimes were relatively rare in the context of statewide statistics even at the beginning of the decade.
Motor vehicle theft showed stability at zero incidents throughout the observed period. Both in 2010 and 2022, no motor vehicle thefts were reported, maintaining a rate of 0 thefts per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's motor vehicle theft statistics remained consistently at 0%, suggesting that this type of crime has not been a significant issue for the community.
Arson data for the city is limited, with no reported cases in 2022 and no data available for 2010. This lack of data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the community.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socio-economic factors, a strong relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 326 people per square mile in 2010 to 282 in 2022, property crimes also declined to zero. This suggests that the lower population density may have contributed to reduced opportunities for property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's reasonable to forecast that property crime rates in Coffeeville will likely remain very low or at zero for the next five years, extending to 2029. The consistent decline in property crimes to zero by 2022, coupled with the continuing trend of decreasing population density, supports this prediction.
In summary, Coffeeville has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crimes over the past decade, reaching zero reported incidents by 2022. This trend, combined with the declining population and density, paints a picture of a small town that has effectively addressed property crime issues. As the community looks towards the future, maintaining these low crime rates while addressing the challenges of a shrinking population will be crucial for Coffeeville's continued development and quality of life.
