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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Clarksburg, Tennessee, is a small community that has experienced significant population growth in recent years. This analysis examines the property crime trends in the city from 2010 to 2020, during which time the population increased from 824 to 1,165 residents, representing a 41.4% growth. Over this period, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with no clear long-term trend, ranging from a high of 6 incidents in 2011 to a low of 0 incidents in 2019 and 2020.
Burglary trends in the city have been sporadic and relatively low. There were no reported burglaries in most years, with only one incident each in 2012 and 2017. Given the small population, even a single burglary significantly impacts the rate per 1,000 residents. For instance, the one burglary in 2012 equated to a rate of approximately 1.17 per 1,000 people, while in 2017, it was about 1.04 per 1,000. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to the city remained at 0% throughout the period, indicating that these isolated incidents had negligible impact on state-wide statistics.
Larceny-theft has been the most consistent type of property crime in the area. The highest number of incidents was recorded in 2011 with 4 cases, while several years saw 1 or 2 incidents. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, with the highest rate in 2011 at approximately 4.9 per 1,000 people. In more recent years, such as 2018, the 2 incidents equated to about 1.95 per 1,000 residents. Despite these occurrences, the city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained at 0%, suggesting that these incidents, while impactful locally, did not significantly affect state-level crime statistics.
Motor vehicle theft showed an interesting pattern, with the most incidents occurring in 2011 and 2014, each year reporting 2 cases. This translates to rates of about 2.45 and 2.11 per 1,000 residents, respectively. Notably, these incidents in 2011 and 2014 accounted for 0.02% of the state's motor vehicle thefts, the only years where the city registered on the state-wide scale for this crime category. In all other years, there were either no incidents or they did not reach the threshold to impact state percentages.
Arson incidents were not reported in the city throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020. This absence of arson cases is noteworthy, especially considering the growth in population and housing units over the years.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density increased from 330 people per square mile in 2010 to 467 in 2020, there was a general decrease in property crime incidents. This suggests that the growing community may have developed stronger social cohesion or improved security measures over time.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate that the city will likely continue to experience low levels of property crime. Given the recent trend of zero reported incidents in 2019 and 2020, and assuming continued population growth and community development, it's reasonable to project that property crime rates will remain very low, possibly with occasional isolated incidents not exceeding 1-2 per year across all categories.
In summary, Clarksburg has demonstrated a remarkably low and decreasing property crime rate despite significant population growth. The sporadic nature of the few reported incidents, coupled with the city's minimal impact on state-wide crime statistics, suggests a generally safe community environment. As the town continues to grow, maintaining this low crime rate will likely be a priority for local authorities and residents alike.