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Property Crime Trends in Chaffee, Missouri: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Chaffee, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased significantly by 55.1%, from 69 incidents in 2010 to 31 in 2020. This reduction occurred against a backdrop of a slight population decline of 3.7%, from 3,186 residents in 2010 to 3,069 in 2020.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable downward trend. In 2010, there were 28 reported burglaries, which decreased to just 10 in 2020, representing a 64.3% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 8.79 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 3.26 per 1,000 in 2020. The city's share of state burglaries also declined from 0.09% in 2010 to 0.06% in 2020, indicating a faster decrease in burglaries compared to the state average. This substantial reduction suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents have also decreased, though less dramatically than burglaries. The number of reported cases dropped from 36 in 2010 to 20 in 2020, a 44.4% decrease. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 11.30 in 2010 to 6.52 in 2020. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2020. This trend indicates that while larceny-theft has decreased, it remains a persistent issue in the community.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has fluctuated over the years but shows an overall decreasing trend. From 5 incidents in 2010, it dropped to 1 in 2020, an 80% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.57 in 2010 to 0.33 in 2020. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.04% to 0.01% over the same period, suggesting a significant improvement in vehicle security or theft prevention measures.
Arson cases in the city have been sporadic, with no clear trend. The data shows 0 incidents in 2010 and 2020, but 1 incident reported in some intervening years. Given the low numbers, it's difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $34,334 in 2013 to $46,807 in 2022, property crime incidents decreased. Additionally, there's a positive correlation between home ownership rates and reduced property crime. The percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 66% in 2013 to 74% in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a further 20-25% reduction in overall property crimes if current trends continue. This would potentially bring the total number of property crimes down to around 23-25 incidents annually.
In summary, Chaffee has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts. This positive trend correlates strongly with rising median incomes and increased home ownership rates, suggesting that economic improvements and community stability play crucial roles in crime reduction. As the city continues to invest in its economic development and community engagement, it is likely to see further improvements in its property crime statistics in the coming years.
