Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Cammack Village, Arkansas: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Cammack Village, located in Arkansas, is a small community with a population of 933 as of 2022. Over the past decade, this city has experienced fluctuations in both its property crime rates and population. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 73.33%, from 15 to 4 incidents. During the same period, the population increased by 17.8%, from 792 to 933 residents.
Burglary trends in the city show a significant decline over time. In 2011, there were 12 burglaries reported, which dropped to zero by 2022. This represents a 100% decrease in burglary incidents. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 15.15 in 2011 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's total burglaries also diminished, from 0.05% in 2011 to 0% in 2022. This substantial reduction in burglaries suggests improved security measures or community vigilance over the years.
Larceny-theft incidents in the city have remained relatively stable, with some fluctuations. In 2011, there were 3 reported cases, which increased to 3 again in 2022, after peaking at 20 in 2020. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 3.79 in 2011 to 3.22 in 2022. The city's share of state larceny-theft incidents remained low but consistent, at 0.01% in 2011 and 2022. This suggests that while larceny-theft remains a concern, it has not significantly worsened relative to the population growth.
Motor vehicle theft trends show an increase over the observed period. In 2011, there were no reported motor vehicle thefts, but by 2022, there was 1 incident. This translates to an increase in the rate per 1,000 people from 0 to 1.07. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle thefts also increased from 0% in 2011 to 0.02% in 2022. While the absolute numbers are small, this trend indicates a need for increased attention to vehicle security in the community.
Arson incidents in the city have been rare and inconsistent. There were no reported arsons in most years, with only one incident each reported in 2016 and 2017. The arson rate per 1,000 people and the city's contribution to state arsons have consequently been negligible for most of the observed period.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 2,799 per square mile in 2011 to 3,297 in 2022, overall property crime incidents decreased. This could suggest that increased community presence may have a deterrent effect on property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime incidents. Based on the current trends, burglaries are likely to remain very low or at zero. Larceny-theft may stabilize around 3-5 incidents annually, while motor vehicle thefts could potentially increase slightly but remain in the single digits.
In summary, Cammack Village has seen a notable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade, particularly in reducing burglaries. The community's growth has been accompanied by a general decline in property crime rates, suggesting effective law enforcement strategies or community-based crime prevention efforts. However, the slight uptick in motor vehicle thefts warrants continued vigilance. As the city continues to evolve, maintaining these positive trends while addressing emerging challenges will be crucial for ensuring the safety and security of its residents.
