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Property Crime Trends in Camden Point, Missouri: A Case of Decreasing Crime Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Camden Point, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2015, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased by 50%, from 2 incidents to 1 incident. During this same period, the population increased by 13.5%, from 1,092 to 1,239 residents. This juxtaposition of decreasing crime rates against a growing population sets the stage for a nuanced analysis of the city's safety and development.
Examining burglary trends, we see a consistent pattern throughout the available data. The city reported one burglary incident each year from 2010 to 2015. Despite the population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents actually decreased from 0.92 in 2010 to 0.81 in 2015. This reduction in the per capita rate suggests an improvement in burglary prevention or detection. Throughout this period, burglaries in Camden Point consistently represented 0% of the state's total, indicating that these incidents had a minimal impact on Missouri's overall burglary statistics.
Larceny-theft in Camden Point showed a decline over the observed period. In 2010, there was one reported incident, but by 2011 and subsequent years through 2015, no larceny-theft incidents were reported. This represents a 100% decrease in larceny-theft crimes. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 0.92 in 2010 to 0 in 2015. Similar to burglaries, larceny-theft incidents in the city accounted for 0% of the state's total throughout this period, suggesting that Camden Point's larceny issues were not significant contributors to the state's overall property crime statistics.
Motor vehicle theft data for Camden Point shows no reported incidents from 2010 to 2015. This consistent zero-incident rate, despite population growth, indicates either effective prevention measures or possibly underreporting. The absence of motor vehicle thefts translates to a 0% contribution to the state's total for this crime category, highlighting the city's relatively safe environment for vehicle owners.
Arson incidents in Camden Point also remained at zero throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2015. This absence of arson cases, maintained even as the population grew, suggests effective fire prevention measures or a community culture that discourages such activities. The city's 0% contribution to the state's arson statistics further underscores its safety in this regard.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socio-economic factors, we find a notable relationship with population density. As the population density increased from 1,706 per square mile in 2010 to 1,936 per square mile in 2015, property crimes decreased from 2 to 1 incident. This inverse relationship suggests that the growing density did not lead to an increase in property crimes, contrary to what might be expected in some urban environments.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continuation of the low crime rates observed in the historical data. Given the stable or decreasing trend in property crimes despite population growth, it's projected that Camden Point will maintain its low crime rates, with potentially 0-1 property crime incidents annually through 2029. This forecast assumes that the factors contributing to the city's low crime rates, such as community engagement and effective law enforcement, remain consistent.
In conclusion, Camden Point demonstrates a remarkable trend of maintaining very low property crime rates while experiencing population growth. The consistent decrease in per capita crime rates across all categories of property crime, coupled with the city's minimal contribution to state-wide crime statistics, paints a picture of a safe and well-managed community. These trends, if maintained, position Camden Point as a model for small city safety and community development in Missouri.
