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Property Crime Trends in Burrton, Kansas: A Study of Declining Rates Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Burrton, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2013 to 2014, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 16 to 7, marking a 56.25% reduction. During this same timeframe, the population of Burrton decreased slightly from 1,595 in 2013 to 1,507 in 2014, before growing to 2,012 by 2022, representing a 33.5% increase over the nine-year period.
Burglary rates in the city showed a notable decline. In 2013, there were 8 burglaries reported, which dropped to 2 in 2014, representing a 75% decrease. When considering population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 5.02 in 2013 to 1.33 in 2014. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to Burrton also decreased from 0.06% to 0.03% during this period. This significant reduction in burglaries suggests an improvement in local security measures or crime prevention efforts.
Larceny-theft incidents remained stable at 8 cases in 2013 and 5 cases in 2014, showing a 37.5% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 5.02 in 2013 to 3.32 in 2014. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained constant at 0.02% for both years. This stability in larceny-theft rates, despite the population decrease, indicates that petty theft remained a consistent challenge for the community.
Motor vehicle theft data shows zero incidents in both 2013 and 2014, with the percentage of state motor vehicle thefts remaining at 0%. This absence of motor vehicle thefts is a positive indicator for the city's vehicle security and could be attributed to effective law enforcement strategies or community vigilance.
Arson cases in the city saw a decline from 1 incident in 2013 to 0 in 2014. The arson rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.63 in 2013 to 0 in 2014. The city's contribution to state arson cases dropped from 0.26% to 0%. This reduction in arson cases is particularly significant given the serious nature of this crime and its potential for property damage and public safety risks.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other demographic factors, a strong relationship emerges with population density. As the population density increased from 1,798 per square mile in 2013 to 2,268 per square mile in 2022, property crime rates showed an overall decreasing trend. This inverse relationship suggests that the growing community may have developed stronger social cohesion or implemented more effective crime prevention strategies as it became more densely populated.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll refer to as five years from now), we can anticipate a continued low incidence of property crimes if current trends persist. The city's growing population and increasing density, coupled with the historically low crime rates, suggest that Burrton may maintain its low property crime levels. However, as the population continues to grow, there may be a slight uptick in larceny-theft cases, which have shown to be the most persistent form of property crime in the city.
In summary, Burrton has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates from 2013 to 2014, with significant reductions in burglaries and the maintenance of low rates across all categories of property crime. The inverse correlation between population density and crime rates suggests that the city's growth has been accompanied by effective crime prevention measures. As Burrton continues to expand, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the community's safety and quality of life.
