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Property Crime Trends in Bremen, Georgia: A Decade of Decreasing Burglaries
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Bremen, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2011 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable decrease from 269 incidents in 2011 to 187 in 2022, representing a 30.5% reduction. This decline occurred alongside population growth, with the number of residents increasing from 9,891 in 2011 to 11,214 in 2022, a 13.4% rise.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2011, there were 55 burglaries, which dropped to just 8 in 2022, a remarkable 85.5% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 5.56 per 1,000 residents in 2011 to 0.71 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, peaking at 0.31% in 2020 before declining to 0.09% in 2022. This substantial reduction in burglaries suggests improved security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies over the years.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, exhibited more variability. From 194 incidents in 2011, it decreased to 173 in 2022, a 10.8% reduction. However, there were significant fluctuations, with a peak of 315 incidents in 2018. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 19.61 in 2011 to 15.43 in 2022. The city's proportion of state larceny-thefts increased from 0.19% in 2011 to 0.26% in 2022, indicating that while local incidents decreased, they did not fall as rapidly as the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a decreasing trend, from 20 incidents in 2011 to 6 in 2022, a 70% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 2.02 in 2011 to 0.54 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.16% to 0.06% over this period, suggesting that the city outperformed the state in reducing this type of crime.
Arson data for the city shows zero incidents reported across all years from 2011 to 2022, indicating either an absence of arson cases or potential underreporting.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $59,630 in 2013 to $66,054 in 2022, overall property crime rates tended to decrease. Additionally, there's a slight correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing and crime rates. As ownership rates fluctuated between 62% and 68% from 2013 to 2022, property crime rates generally decreased when ownership rates were higher.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Bremen could see further reductions in property crime. Burglaries might decrease to around 3-5 incidents annually, larceny-theft could stabilize around 150-160 cases per year, and motor vehicle thefts might reduce to 3-4 incidents annually. However, these projections assume current trends and conditions persist.
In summary, Bremen has demonstrated a generally positive trend in reducing property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts. This improvement, occurring alongside population growth and increasing median income, suggests a strengthening community fabric and potentially more effective crime prevention strategies. The city's performance in reducing property crimes, often outpacing state-level improvements, positions it as a potentially instructive case study for similar-sized municipalities looking to enhance public safety and reduce property crime rates.
