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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Bradford, located in Tennessee, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, showing an overall decrease of 44.4% from 18 incidents in 2010 to 10 in 2020. During this same period, the population of the city experienced fluctuations as well, ultimately decreasing by 0.3% from 2,650 in 2010 to 2,656.5 in 2020.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a general downward trend over the years. In 2010, there were 6 reported burglaries, which decreased to 2 by 2020, representing a 66.7% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 2.26 in 2010 to 0.75 in 2020. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained relatively stable, consistently accounting for about 0.01% of the state's total burglaries throughout the decade. This decline in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or potentially more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents have fluctuated over the years but show an overall declining trend. In 2010, there were 11 reported larceny-thefts, which decreased to 7 by 2020, a 36.4% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 4.15 in 2010 to 2.64 in 2020. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics remained relatively constant at around 0.01% throughout most of the decade. This decline in larceny-thefts could indicate improved community awareness or enhanced security measures in local businesses and public spaces.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with sporadic occurrences. In 2010, there was 1 reported motor vehicle theft, and this number remained at 1 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively stable, going from 0.38 in 2010 to 0.38 in 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics fluctuated between 0% and 0.01% over the years. The low and stable rate of motor vehicle thefts suggests that this particular crime is not a significant issue for the community.
Arson incidents in the city have been extremely rare, with only one reported case in 2019. This single incident represented 0.19% of the state's total arson cases for that year. The rarity of arson cases indicates that it is not a prevalent concern for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. For instance, as the median income increased from $46,379 in 2013 to $51,159 in 2014, property crime incidents decreased from 12 to 14. However, as the median income decreased to $43,380 in 2019, property crime incidents increased to 12. This suggests that economic factors may play a role in property crime rates within the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall declining trend. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that total property crimes could decrease by approximately 15-20% by 2029. This forecast takes into account the city's demographic changes and economic indicators.
In summary, Bradford has experienced a general decrease in property crimes over the past decade, with notable reductions in burglary and larceny-theft rates. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained relatively low and stable across all categories of property crime. The inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates highlights the potential impact of economic factors on criminal activity in the area. As the city moves forward, maintaining focus on economic development and community-based crime prevention strategies could help sustain and potentially improve upon these positive trends in property crime reduction.