Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with sporadic occurrences. In 2010, there was 1 reported motor vehicle theft, and this number remained at 1 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively stable, going from 0.38 in 2010 to 0.38 in 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics fluctuated between 0% and 0.01% over the years. The low and stable rate of motor vehicle thefts suggests that this particular crime is not a significant issue for the community.

Arson incidents in the city have been extremely rare, with only one reported case in 2019. This single incident represented 0.19% of the state's total arson cases for that year. The rarity of arson cases indicates that it is not a prevalent concern for the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. For instance, as the median income increased from $46,379 in 2013 to $51,159 in 2014, property crime incidents decreased from 12 to 14. However, as the median income decreased to $43,380 in 2019, property crime incidents increased to 12. This suggests that economic factors may play a role in property crime rates within the city.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall declining trend. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that total property crimes could decrease by approximately 15-20% by 2029. This forecast takes into account the city's demographic changes and economic indicators.

In summary, Bradford has experienced a general decrease in property crimes over the past decade, with notable reductions in burglary and larceny-theft rates. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained relatively low and stable across all categories of property crime. The inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates highlights the potential impact of economic factors on criminal activity in the area. As the city moves forward, maintaining focus on economic development and community-based crime prevention strategies could help sustain and potentially improve upon these positive trends in property crime reduction.