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Property Crime Trends in Bloomfield, Kentucky: A Decade of Fluctuations and Overall Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Bloomfield, Kentucky, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with a peak of 8 incidents in both 2015 and 2021, and a low of 0 in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease from the beginning to the end of the observed period. Meanwhile, the population grew from 2,168 in 2012 to 2,227 in 2022, a 2.72% increase.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variability. In 2012, there were 2 burglaries, representing 0.01% of the state's total. The highest number of burglaries occurred in 2015 with 6 incidents (0.04% of the state total), while in some years like 2018 and 2019, there were no reported burglaries. The burglary rate per 1,000 residents peaked in 2015 at 3.34 and dropped to 0 by 2022. This fluctuation suggests inconsistent patterns in local property security measures or reporting practices.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated considerable variation. From 0 incidents in 2012, it peaked at 6 cases in 2014 and 2021, representing 0.01% of the state's total in both years. The rate per 1,000 residents was highest in 2014 at 2.97 and fell to 0 by 2022. This trend indicates a general improvement in petty theft prevention or reporting over the decade, despite occasional spikes.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been relatively rare. The highest number of incidents was 2 in 2018, accounting for 0.05% of the state's total that year. The rate per 1,000 residents reached its maximum of 0.99 in 2018. In most years, including 2022, there were no reported motor vehicle thefts, suggesting effective deterrence or a lack of opportunity for this type of crime.
Arson incidents have been consistently reported as 0 throughout the entire period from 2012 to 2022, representing 0% of the state's total each year. This absence of arson cases indicates either strong fire prevention measures or potentially underreporting of such incidents.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 1,504 per square mile in 2012 to 1,545 in 2022, overall property crime rates tended to decrease. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest a causal relationship.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continuation of the overall decreasing trend. Based on the historical data, we project that property crime incidents will likely remain low, fluctuating between 0 and 5 cases annually. However, given the small sample size and historical variability, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously.
In conclusion, Bloomfield has experienced a general downward trend in property crimes over the past decade, with significant year-to-year fluctuations. The most notable improvements have been in burglary and larceny-theft rates, while motor vehicle theft and arson have remained consistently low. These trends, coupled with the slight population growth, suggest an overall enhancement in community safety and property protection measures within the city.
