Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Biscoe, North Carolina: A Tale of Decline Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Biscoe, located in North Carolina, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the years, alongside significant population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 14.29%, from 112 to 96 incidents. During the same period, the population grew by 8.18%, from 5,185 to 5,609 residents, indicating a divergence between crime rates and population growth.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a marked decline over the years. In 2010, there were 25 burglaries, which decreased to just 1 in 2022, representing a 96% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 4.82 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 0.18 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, peaking at 0.07% in 2014 before dropping to 0% in 2022. This significant decrease in burglaries suggests improved security measures or changing criminal patterns within the community.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, has shown a more varied trend. In 2010, there were 85 larceny thefts, which increased to a peak of 205 in 2014 before declining to 95 in 2022, an overall increase of 11.76%. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 16.39 in 2010 to 16.94 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny thefts increased from 0.07% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, peaking at 0.21% in 2018. These fluctuations may reflect changing economic conditions or law enforcement strategies over the years.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low and stable. There were 2 incidents in 2010, which remained the same in 2022, with slight variations in between, peaking at 5 in 2013. The rate per 1,000 people decreased slightly from 0.39 in 2010 to 0.36 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts has been consistently low, ranging from 0.02% to 0.06% over the years. This stability suggests effective deterrence or a lack of opportunity for this type of crime in the area.
Arson incidents have been rare in the city, with only two years showing reported cases. In 2014, there were 3 arson incidents (0.33% of state total), and in 2016, there were 4 (0.67% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people was 0.64 in 2014 and 0.70 in 2016. The absence of arson in other years indicates that it is not a persistent problem in the community.
A strong correlation exists between property crime trends and median income. As median income increased from $29,189 in 2013 to $45,515 in 2022, property crimes generally decreased, with some fluctuations. For instance, when income peaked at $52,683 in 2019, property crimes were at 186, down from their peak of 236 in 2014 when income was lower at $27,116. This suggests that improved economic conditions may contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it is forecast that by 2029, property crimes in Biscoe may continue to decrease, potentially reaching around 80-85 incidents annually. This projection assumes the continuation of current trends in economic growth and community development.
In summary, Biscoe has shown a generally positive trend in property crime reduction, particularly in burglaries, despite population growth. The most significant improvements have been in burglary rates, while larceny theft remains the predominant property crime concern. The correlation between rising median income and decreasing crime rates suggests that continued economic development could further enhance public safety in the coming years.
