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Property Crime Trends in Annapolis, Missouri: A Small City's Fluctuating Patterns
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Annapolis, Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. Over the years from 2013 to 2019, the city experienced fluctuating levels of property crime, with a total of 12 reported incidents across this period. This represents a 33.33% decrease from 2013 to 2019. During the same timeframe, the population decreased from 1,085 in 2013 to 998 in 2019, a 8.02% decline. These concurrent trends suggest a complex relationship between population dynamics and property crime in this small Missouri city.
Burglary trends in the city show significant variation. In 2013 and 2014, there were no reported burglaries. However, in 2018, there was a spike with 3 burglaries reported, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This equates to a rate of 2.85 burglaries per 1,000 residents. By 2019, this number decreased to 1 burglary, or 0.01% of the state's total, resulting in a rate of 1.00 per 1,000 residents. This fluctuation suggests that while burglary is not a consistent problem, it can occur in sudden spikes.
Larceny-theft trends also demonstrate variability. In 2013, there were 2 reported incidents, which dropped to zero in 2014 and 2015. The rate increased slightly to 3 incidents in 2016, before dropping again to 1 incident in both 2018 and 2019. The rate per 1,000 residents was 1.84 in 2013, peaked at 2.73 in 2016, and settled at 1.00 in 2019. The percentage of state crime for larceny-theft remained at 0% throughout the period, indicating that these incidents had minimal impact on statewide statistics.
Motor vehicle theft in the city was rare, with only one reported incident in 2013, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This equates to a rate of 0.92 per 1,000 residents. For all other years in the dataset, there were no reported motor vehicle thefts. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a significant ongoing concern for the city.
Arson incidents were similarly infrequent, with only one reported case in 2016, accounting for 0.12% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.91 per 1,000 residents. No other arson incidents were reported in the available data, indicating that arson is an isolated occurrence rather than a persistent issue.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $28,749 in 2013 to $36,956 in 2019, the total number of property crimes decreased from 3 to 2. Simultaneously, the percentage of owner-occupied housing rose from 65% to 76%, which could suggest a link between increased home ownership and reduced property crime.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may experience a further reduction in property crime rates. The model suggests a potential decrease to an average of 1-2 total property crime incidents per year, assuming current socioeconomic trends continue.
The most significant discoveries in Annapolis's property crime trends include the overall decrease in total property crimes, the sporadic nature of specific crime types, and the potential correlation with rising median income and home ownership rates. These findings suggest that while property crime is not a major ongoing issue, isolated incidents can still occur. The city's small population and relatively low crime rates indicate that even minor fluctuations can have a noticeable impact on crime statistics. As Annapolis continues to see improvements in economic indicators, it may experience further reductions in property crime, reinforcing the importance of community stability and economic growth in crime prevention.
