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Property Crime Trends in Strasburg, Missouri: A Study of Minimal Incidents Amid Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Strasburg in Missouri presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Between 2010 and 2019, the city experienced minimal property crime activity, with only two years showing any recorded incidents. The total number of property crimes fluctuated from zero in most years to a peak of 3 in 2014, followed by 2 in 2015, before returning to zero in 2019. This represents a 100% decrease in property crimes from the peak year to the most recent data point. During this same period, the population decreased from 1,496 in 2010 to 1,132 in 2019, a decline of approximately 24.3%.
Burglary trends in the city remain stable, with no reported incidents throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2019. This consistent zero-burglary rate contrasts with the population decline, suggesting that factors other than population size may influence burglary rates in the area. The percentage of state burglaries attributable to Strasburg remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating that the city did not contribute to the state's burglary statistics.
Larceny-theft shows the only variation in property crime for the city. In 2014, there were 3 reported larceny-theft incidents, followed by 2 in 2015. This translates to a rate of 2.45 incidents per 1,000 people in 2014 and 1.63 per 1,000 in 2015, based on the respective population figures. However, larceny-theft returned to zero in subsequent years, including 2019. The percentage of state larceny-theft attributable to Strasburg remained at 0% throughout the recorded period, suggesting that these incidents had minimal impact on state-level statistics.
Motor vehicle theft in Strasburg shows no reported incidents from 2010 to 2019. This absence of motor vehicle thefts persists despite population changes, indicating that factors beyond population size influence this crime category. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics remained at 0% throughout the period.
Arson incidents in the city follow the same pattern as motor vehicle theft, with no reported cases from 2010 to 2019. This consistent zero-arson rate suggests that the city has been successful in preventing or deterring this type of crime, regardless of population fluctuations. The city's contribution to state arson statistics remained at 0% throughout the period.
Examining potential correlations between property crime trends and other demographic factors reveals limited insights due to the scarcity of crime incidents. However, it's worth noting that the brief spike in larceny-theft in 2014-2015 coincided with a period of increasing median income, rising from $66,250 in 2013 to $70,637 in 2015. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 90% in 2013 to 95% by 2017, which may have contributed to the subsequent reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now) suggests that Strasburg is likely to maintain its low property crime rates. The consistent zero or near-zero crime rates across most categories, combined with the trend of increasing homeownership and relatively stable median income, indicate that property crime is likely to remain minimal in the foreseeable future.
In summary, Strasburg demonstrates a remarkably low and stable property crime environment. The brief occurrence of larceny-theft in 2014-2015, followed by a return to zero incidents, highlights the city's resilience to sustained criminal activity. The absence of burglaries, motor vehicle thefts, and arsons throughout the recorded period underscores the effectiveness of local crime prevention strategies or inherent community characteristics that deter such activities. As the city continues to evolve, maintaining these low crime rates will likely remain a priority for local authorities and residents alike.
