Motor vehicle theft in the city has been sporadic. There were no reported incidents in 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2018. The highest number was recorded in 2014 with 4 incidents. The rate per 1,000 residents reached its maximum at 1.76 in 2014. Interestingly, despite low numbers, the city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures was relatively high in some years, peaking at 0.36% in 2014. This suggests that while motor vehicle theft is not a consistent problem, when it occurs, it represents a significant portion of the state's incidents.

Arson has been a rare occurrence in the city. Only two incidents were reported over the decade, one in 2011 and another in 2019. Despite the low numbers, these incidents represented a significant portion of state arson cases, at 0.74% and 0.88% respectively. This indicates that while arson is infrequent, each incident has a substantial impact on state-level statistics due to the city's size.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population growth and the overall number of property crimes. As the population increased from 2,476 in 2010 to 3,192 in 2021, property crimes generally trended upward, though not proportionally. Interestingly, the rise in median income from $39,176 in 2013 to $54,946 in 2022 did not correspond with a decrease in property crimes, suggesting that economic factors alone may not be determinative of crime rates in this city.

Applying predictive models based on historical trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime rates may stabilize or slightly decrease. The city's growing Hispanic population, which increased from 48% in 2013 to 77% in 2022, coupled with rising homeownership rates (from 64% in 2013 to 78% in 2022), could contribute to community stability and potentially lower crime rates.

In summary, Aberdeen has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the past decade, with notable variations in different categories. While some crime types like larceny-theft have shown relative consistency, others like burglary and motor vehicle theft have been more volatile. The city's contribution to state crime figures, particularly in categories like arson and motor vehicle theft, has been disproportionately high at times, highlighting the impact of even a few incidents in a smaller community. As the city continues to grow and diversify, ongoing monitoring and community-based initiatives will be crucial in managing and potentially reducing property crime rates in the coming years.