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Violent Crime Trends in Chubbuck, Idaho: A Decade of Growth and Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Chubbuck, Idaho, a small urban area of 6.01 square miles, has experienced notable changes in its violent crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, starting at 46 in 2010 and ending at 41 in 2022, representing a 10.87% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 14,253 to 16,285, an increase of 14.26%.
Regarding murder trends, Chubbuck maintained a remarkably low rate, with zero murders reported from 2010 to 2021. However, in 2022, the city recorded its first murder, representing 3.45% of the state's total. This singular event translates to a rate of 0.06 murders per 1,000 people in 2022. While this increase is significant in percentage terms, it's important to note that one incident in a small population can greatly impact statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have shown fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there were 4 reported cases (1.06% of state total), which dropped to 2 cases in 2013 (0.46% of state total). The highest number was recorded in 2018 with 8 cases (1.39% of state total). By 2022, the number stood at 4 cases (0.59% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has varied, from 0.28 in 2010 to 0.25 in 2022, showing a slight decrease relative to population growth.
Robbery trends in Chubbuck have been variable. In 2010, there were 8 robberies (4.12% of state total), which decreased to 1 in 2015 (0.62% of state total). The number rose again to 6 in 2019 (4.51% of state total) before settling at 4 in 2022 (3.12% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.56 in 2010 to 0.25 in 2022, indicating an overall downward trend relative to population growth.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were 34 cases (1.85% of state total), which peaked at 45 cases in 2018 (2.31% of state total) before decreasing to 32 cases in 2022 (1.35% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated, from 2.39 in 2010 to 1.97 in 2022, showing a slight decrease relative to population growth.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,302 per square mile in 2010 to 2,630 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate per 1,000 people decreased from 3.23 to 2.52. This suggests that despite growing denser, the city has managed to reduce its violent crime rate.
The racial composition of Chubbuck has remained relatively stable, with the white population slightly decreasing from 87% in 2013 to 83% in 2022, while the Hispanic population increased from 9% to 12% during the same period. This gradual diversification doesn't seem to have a strong correlation with violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Chubbuck may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 50 incidents per year. However, this projection assumes current trends continue and doesn't account for potential policy changes or unforeseen events.
In summary, Chubbuck has experienced fluctuations in violent crime over the past decade, with an overall decrease in the crime rate relative to population growth. The city has maintained very low murder rates, with variable trends in rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Despite increasing population density, the city has managed to reduce its overall violent crime rate, suggesting effective law enforcement strategies or community factors at play. As the city continues to grow and diversify, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the safety and well-being of its residents.
