Motor vehicle theft showed a complete elimination of incidents. In 2021, there was 1 reported case, which dropped to 0 in 2022. This resulted in a decrease from 0.54 incidents per 1,000 people to 0. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also fell from 0.02% to 0%. This elimination of motor vehicle thefts is a positive development for the community's safety and property security.

Arson remained constant at 0 incidents in both 2021 and 2022, maintaining a 0% contribution to state arson cases. This stability in the absence of arson cases is a positive indicator for public safety and property protection in the area.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The reduction in property crimes coincided with a slight increase in the percentage of owner-occupied housing, which rose from 0.83 in 2021 to remain steady at 0.83 in 2022. This could suggest a relationship between property ownership and crime rates, although more data would be needed to confirm a long-term trend.

Additionally, there was a notable change in the racial composition of the city during this period. The percentage of Black residents increased from 17% in 2021 to 24% in 2022, while the percentage of White residents decreased from 78% to 75%. This demographic shift occurred alongside the decrease in property crimes, suggesting that changes in racial composition did not negatively impact crime rates in this case.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the downward trend, albeit at a slower rate. If current conditions persist, the city might expect to see property crimes stabilize at very low levels, potentially averaging 1-2 incidents per year by 2029. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously, as small fluctuations in a city of this size can have significant percentage impacts on crime rates.

In summary, Millport has experienced a substantial decrease in property crimes from 2021 to 2022, with reductions across burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft categories. This positive trend, occurring alongside slight population decrease and changes in demographic composition, suggests improvements in community safety and property security. The correlation with stable home ownership rates and the elimination of certain crime categories indicate a potentially resilient community structure. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates while adapting to demographic changes will be crucial for sustaining the positive trajectory in property crime reduction.