Loading Content...
Ider, Alabama: Violent Crime Trends in a Shrinking Community
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Ider, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in this small community fluctuated, starting at 4 in 2010 and ending at 1 in 2022, representing a 75% decrease. During this same period, the population declined from 4,696 in 2010 to 4,011 in 2022, a decrease of about 14.6%.
Examining the murder rate, Ider has maintained a consistent record of zero murders reported throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This statistic remains unchanged despite the population decrease, indicating a persistently safe environment in terms of homicides. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the percentage of state crime for murder has consistently been 0% for Ider.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some fluctuation over the years. In 2010 and 2012, there were no reported rapes. However, in 2013, there were 2 reported cases, representing 0.17% of the state's total. The rate then dropped back to 0 in 2014. In 2021, there were again 2 reported cases, accounting for 0.25% of the state's total. This translates to a rape rate of approximately 0.49 per 1,000 people in 2021, up from 0 in 2014. By 2022, the number of reported rapes had returned to 0. These fluctuations suggest that while rape is not a persistent problem, isolated incidents can significantly impact the statistics in such a small community.
Robbery incidents have remained consistently at zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This consistency, despite population changes, indicates that robbery is not a significant concern for the community, with the robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery both remaining at 0%.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Ider. In 2010, there were 4 reported cases, representing 0.07% of the state's total. This number increased slightly to 5 cases in 2012 and 2013, before dropping back to 4 in 2014. By 2021, the number had decreased to 2 cases, accounting for 0.02% of the state's total. In 2022, there was only 1 reported case, representing 0.01% of the state's total. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people has decreased from approximately 0.85 in 2010 to 0.25 in 2022, showing a significant improvement in this area of violent crime.
There appears to be a correlation between the declining population density and the overall decrease in violent crimes. As the population density decreased from 865 people per square mile in 2010 to 738 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also generally decreased. This trend suggests that the lower population density may contribute to reduced opportunities for violent encounters.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's reasonable to forecast that violent crime rates in Ider will likely remain low or potentially decrease further over the next five years (up to 2029). The consistent absence of murders and robberies is expected to continue. Rape incidents, while sporadic, may remain rare or non-existent. Aggravated assaults, having shown a decreasing trend, are likely to stabilize at very low numbers, possibly averaging 1-2 cases per year.
In summary, Ider has demonstrated a generally improving safety profile over the past decade. The most significant change has been the reduction in aggravated assaults, while maintaining consistently low or zero rates for other violent crimes. This trend, coupled with the declining population, suggests that Ider is likely to continue being a relatively safe community with minimal violent crime concerns in the foreseeable future.
