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Property Crime Decline in Knob Noster: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Knob Noster, a city in Missouri, has experienced a significant reduction in property crime rates over the past decade, despite population growth. From 2010 to 2021, total property crimes in the city decreased by 72.1%, dropping from 86 incidents to 24, while the population increased by 5.4% from 3,790 to 3,995 residents.
Burglary rates in Knob Noster have shown a notable downward trend. The number of burglary incidents decreased from 15 in 2010 to 4 in 2021, representing a 73.3% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 3.96 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 1.00 per 1,000 in 2021. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.03% and 0.12% of the state total.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the area, also saw a significant decline. Incidents dropped from 71 in 2010 to 17 in 2021, a 76.1% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 18.73 in 2010 to 4.26 in 2021. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures decreased from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2021, indicating a more rapid improvement compared to state averages.
Motor vehicle theft trends in Knob Noster have been more variable. The city reported zero incidents in 2010 and 2015, with peaks of 4 incidents in 2016. By 2021, there were 3 reported cases. The rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively low, reaching a maximum of 1.05 in 2016. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated between 0% and 0.03%, suggesting a minimal impact on overall state figures.
Arson incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. The data shows either zero or one incident per year from 2010 to 2021. The highest reported percentage of state arsons was 0.13% in 2013 and 2017. Given the low frequency, it's challenging to identify a clear trend, but the data suggests that arson is not a significant ongoing concern for the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income rose from $42,888 in 2013 to $55,611 in 2021, total property crimes fell from 53 to 24. Additionally, there's a noticeable correlation between the increase in homeownership rates (from 49% in 2013 to 59% in 2021) and the decrease in property crimes, suggesting that higher community investment may contribute to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, Knob Noster could see its total property crime incidents decrease further to around 15-20 per year. Burglaries might stabilize at 2-3 incidents annually, while larceny-theft could drop to 10-15 cases. Motor vehicle theft is expected to remain low, potentially averaging 1-2 incidents per year.
In conclusion, Knob Noster has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates across most categories over the past decade. The consistent decline in burglaries and larceny-thefts, coupled with the city's economic growth and increased homeownership, paints a picture of a community that has become safer and more stable. These trends, if maintained, suggest a positive outlook for the city's safety and security in the coming years.
