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Property Crime Decline in Highfill, Arkansas: A Decade of Safety Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Highfill, Arkansas, is a small community that has experienced significant population growth in recent years. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, showing an overall decrease from 11 incidents in 2011 to 0 in 2022, representing a 100% reduction. During the same period, the population grew from 2,653 to 4,234, an increase of about 59.6%.
Burglary trends in the city have shown considerable variation over the years. In 2011, there were 2 burglaries, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This number peaked at 3 in 2012 and 2020 but dropped to 0 in several years, including 2022. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.75 in 2011 to 0 in 2022. This trend suggests an overall improvement in burglary prevention despite population growth.
Larceny-theft incidents have also fluctuated, with the highest number (8) reported in 2011, accounting for 0.02% of the state's total. The incidents decreased to 0 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 3.02 in 2011 to 0 in 2022, indicating a significant improvement in property security relative to population growth.
Motor vehicle theft showed minimal occurrence, with only one incident reported in 2011 and 2016, each representing 0.03% and 0.02% of the state's total, respectively. In 2020, there was a slight increase to 2 incidents (0.04% of state total). The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.38 in 2011 to 0 in 2022, suggesting effective vehicle protection measures despite population growth.
Arson incidents were rare, with only one case reported in 2013, accounting for 0.33% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.36 per 1,000 residents in that year. Since then, no arson cases have been reported, indicating a positive trend in fire safety and property protection.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and population growth. As the population increased from 2,653 in 2011 to 4,234 in 2022, property crime incidents generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between rising median income and decreasing property crime rates. The median income rose from $39,971 in 2013 to $63,967 in 2022, coinciding with the overall reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that property crime rates will likely remain low or potentially reach zero consistently by 2029. The city's growing population, increasing median income, and past successful crime prevention strategies suggest a continued focus on community safety and property protection.
In summary, Highfill has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates despite significant population growth. The reduction in burglaries, larceny-thefts, motor vehicle thefts, and the absence of arson cases in recent years reflect positively on the community's safety measures. These trends, coupled with economic growth, position the city favorably for maintaining low property crime rates in the coming years.
