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Violent Crime Trends in Gravette, Arkansas: A Decade of Growth and Stability
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gravette, located in Arkansas, has experienced notable changes in its violent crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a general upward trend. In 2010, there were 5 violent crimes reported, which increased to 10 in 2022, representing a 100% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 6,126 in 2010 to 7,440 in 2022, a 21.4% increase.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently low, with no reported cases from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has also been consistently 0% throughout this period. This suggests that the city has maintained effective measures to prevent homicides despite its growing population.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which increased to 3 cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.16 in 2010 to 0.40 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics fluctuated, peaking at 0.6% in 2015 and settling at 0.19% in 2022. This indicates that while the absolute number of cases has increased, the city's relative contribution to state figures has remained relatively low.
Robbery trends in the city have been minimal. From 2010 to 2022, there was only one reported robbery, which occurred in 2019. This translates to a rate of 0.15 robberies per 1,000 people in 2019, with the city contributing 0.07% to the state's robbery statistics that year. The overall low incidence of robberies suggests that property-related violent crimes are not a significant concern in the city.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were 4 cases, which increased to 7 cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people changed from 0.65 in 2010 to 0.94 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, reaching a high of 0.17% in 2014 and 2020, before decreasing to 0.06% in 2022. This indicates that while aggravated assaults have increased in number, the city's share of state incidents has remained relatively small.
An examination of correlations reveals a potential link between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 400 people per square mile in 2010 to 486 in 2022, there was a corresponding rise in overall violent crime numbers. This suggests that the growing concentration of people may be contributing to increased instances of violent crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029, the city may see a slight increase in overall violent crime numbers. Based on the current trends, aggravated assaults are likely to remain the most common form of violent crime, potentially reaching 8-10 cases annually. Rape incidents may stabilize around 3-4 cases per year, while robbery and murder rates are expected to remain low.
In conclusion, Gravette has experienced a moderate increase in violent crimes, primarily driven by aggravated assaults, as its population has grown. Despite this increase, the city's contribution to state crime statistics remains relatively low across all categories of violent crime. The absence of murders and the low incidence of robberies are positive indicators of community safety. However, the rising trends in aggravated assaults and rape cases suggest a need for continued vigilance and targeted crime prevention strategies as the city continues to grow.
