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Norborne, Missouri: Stable Violent Crime Trends Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Norborne, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2013, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated slightly, starting at 2 in 2010, decreasing to 1 in 2011, and remaining at 1 in 2013. During this same period, the population grew from 798 in 2010 to 812 in 2013, representing a 1.75% increase.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city maintained a consistent record of zero incidents throughout the reported years (2010, 2011, and 2013). This translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and represents 0% of the state's total for this crime category. The stability in these figures suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of homicides, despite the minor population growth.
Rape incidents also remained at zero for all reported years. This consistency, coupled with the increasing population, indicates a decreasing rate per 1,000 people, though it remained at 0. The city's contribution to the state's total rape cases stayed at 0% throughout this period.
Robbery trends showed a slight increase over time. In 2010, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2011 and 2013, one robbery was reported each year. This change increased the robbery rate from 0 to approximately 1.23 per 1,000 people in 2013. Notably, the city's contribution to the state's total robberies rose from 0% in 2010 to 0.02% in both 2011 and 2013, indicating a minor but noticeable shift in the local crime landscape.
Aggravated assault cases demonstrated a declining trend. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, which dropped to 0 in both 2011 and 2013. This decrease lowered the rate from approximately 2.51 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 0 in the subsequent years. The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults fell from 0.01% in 2010 to 0% in 2011 and 2013.
A notable correlation exists between the violent crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 1,232 per square mile in 2010 to 1,254 in 2013, there was a slight overall decrease in violent crimes, suggesting that the growing density did not lead to an increase in violent incidents.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll refer to as five years from now), we might expect the overall violent crime rate to remain relatively stable or show a slight decrease if current trends continue. The city's contribution to state crime percentages is likely to remain minimal, possibly fluctuating between 0% and 0.02% for various crime categories.
In summary, Norborne has demonstrated a relatively stable violent crime environment with some positive trends, particularly in aggravated assaults. The most significant changes were observed in robbery incidents, which saw a small increase. Despite population growth, the city has managed to maintain low crime rates across all categories of violent crime, suggesting effective law enforcement strategies or strong community cohesion. These trends position Norborne as a relatively safe community within Missouri, with violent crime rates that are notably low compared to state averages.
