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Millry, Alabama: Stable Violent Crime Trends Amid Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Millry, a small municipality in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes remained constant at 1 incident per year, while the population decreased by 16.8% from 2,918 to 2,429 residents.
The murder rate in this city has remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period. With no reported murders in either 2010 or 2022, the murder rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for this category both stand at 0%. This stability in the absence of murders suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime.
Similarly, rape incidents have not been reported in the available data for Millry. Both in 2010 and 2022, the number of rapes, the rate per 1,000 people, and the percentage of state crime for rape are recorded as 0%. This consistent absence of reported rapes over the years indicates a positive aspect of public safety in the community.
The robbery trend follows the same pattern as murder and rape, with no reported incidents in either 2010 or 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery both remain at 0%. This sustained lack of robberies contributes to the overall low violent crime profile of the city.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that shows any occurrence in Millry. In both 2010 and 2022, there was 1 reported case of aggravated assault. Despite the population decrease, the number of aggravated assaults remained constant, leading to a slight increase in the rate per 1,000 people from 0.34 in 2010 to 0.41 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault decreased slightly from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2022, indicating that while the local rate increased marginally, it represented a smaller portion of the state's total aggravated assaults.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship is with population density. As the population density decreased from 389 people per square mile in 2010 to 324 in 2022, the rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people increased slightly. This suggests that the reduction in population did not lead to a proportional decrease in this type of crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's reasonable to expect that the overall low crime rate will persist. By 2029, which is five years from now, if current trends continue, we might anticipate: 1. The number of aggravated assaults to remain at 1 per year or potentially decrease to 0 if the population continues to decline. 2. Murder, rape, and robbery rates to remain at 0, maintaining the city's profile as a low-crime area. 3. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people may increase slightly if the population continues to decrease while the number of incidents remains constant.
In summary, Millry demonstrates a remarkably stable and low violent crime profile. The most significant finding is the consistent presence of a single annual aggravated assault case against a backdrop of declining population, which results in a marginally increasing rate per capita. This trend, coupled with the absence of other violent crimes, positions Millry as a community with minimal violent crime concerns, though vigilance in maintaining this status will be important as the population dynamics continue to evolve.
