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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Albertville, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2018, the city experienced a significant decrease in total violent crimes, dropping from 81 incidents in 2010 to 24 in 2018, representing a 70.4% reduction. This substantial decline occurred alongside a modest population growth of 2.7%, from 29,879 in 2010 to 30,677 in 2018.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently low, with only one reported case in 2014 and zero cases in all other reported years. This translates to a murder rate of 0.033 per 1,000 people in 2014, and zero in other years. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city was 0.5% in 2014, the only year with a recorded incident. This low and stable murder rate suggests effective law enforcement and community safety measures.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, with a slight overall decrease. In 2010, there were 6 reported cases (0.20 per 1,000 people), which increased to 7 cases in 2011 and 2017 (0.23 per 1,000 people), before decreasing to 6 cases in 2018 (0.20 per 1,000 people). The city's contribution to state rape cases has remained relatively consistent, ranging from 0.4% to 0.88% of the state total. This indicates that while rape remains a concern, it has not significantly worsened over time relative to the state's overall figures.
Robbery trends show a notable decrease over the observed period. In 2010, there were 13 robberies (0.44 per 1,000 people), which declined to 10 robberies in 2018 (0.33 per 1,000 people). This represents a 23.1% decrease in robberies. The city's contribution to state robbery cases has fluctuated, from 0.44% in 2010 to 0.34% in 2018, with a low of 0.11% in 2011. This downward trend in robberies suggests improved security measures or economic conditions in the city.
Aggravated assault cases have seen the most dramatic decrease among violent crimes. In 2010, there were 62 cases (2.08 per 1,000 people), which plummeted to 8 cases in 2018 (0.26 per 1,000 people), marking an 87.1% reduction. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases also dropped significantly, from 1.03% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2018. This substantial decrease in aggravated assaults has been the primary driver of the overall reduction in violent crimes in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between the Hispanic population percentage and violent crime rates. As the Hispanic population increased from 23% in 2013 to 29% in 2022, violent crime rates generally decreased. Conversely, as the white population percentage decreased from 73% in 2013 to 65% in 2022, violent crime rates also declined. This suggests that demographic changes may have played a role in the reduction of violent crimes, although further research would be needed to establish causality.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that violent crime rates will continue to decrease gradually over the next seven years, reaching 2029. By 2025, which is five years from now, the total number of violent crimes could potentially drop below 20 incidents per year if current trends persist.
In summary, Albertville has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in public safety over the past decade, with significant reductions across all categories of violent crime. The most notable achievement has been the near-elimination of murders and the substantial decrease in aggravated assaults. These positive trends, coupled with the changing demographics, paint a picture of a city that has made significant strides in enhancing the safety and well-being of its residents.