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Metropolis's Violent Crime Decline: A Decade of Demographic Change and Safety Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Metropolis, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced a significant decrease in total violent crimes, dropping from 45 incidents in 2010 to 20 in 2022, representing a 55.6% reduction. This decline occurred against a backdrop of population change, with the city's population decreasing from 11,522 in 2010 to 10,466 in 2022, a 9.2% reduction.
Notably, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This statistic is particularly remarkable given the population fluctuations and suggests a high level of community safety regarding the most severe form of violent crime. The absence of murders also means that the city's contribution to the state's murder rate has remained at 0% throughout this period.
Rape incidents have shown fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there were 7 reported cases, which increased to a peak of 12 in 2019 before decreasing to 4 cases in 2022. When adjusted for population, the rate of rape per 1,000 people increased from 0.61 in 2010 to 0.38 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape cases has varied, peaking at 0.63% in 2012 and dropping to 0.11% in 2022. This suggests that while rape remains a concern, the city has made progress in recent years in reducing its incidence relative to the state average.
Robbery trends show a general decline over the period. From 6 incidents in 2010, the number decreased to just 1 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.52 in 2010 to 0.10 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases has remained consistently low, ranging from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2022. This indicates that robbery is becoming less prevalent in the city, both in absolute terms and relative to state figures.
Aggravated assault, while showing some fluctuation, has also seen an overall decrease. From 32 cases in 2010, the number dropped to 15 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 2.78 in 2010 to 1.43 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases has remained relatively stable, hovering around 0.1-0.2% throughout the period. This suggests that while aggravated assault remains the most common violent crime in the city, its prevalence is decreasing.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,913 per square mile in 2010 to 1,738 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between racial demographics and crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 90% in 2013 to 85% in 2022, and the black population increased from 5% to 7%, the overall crime rate continued to decline, suggesting that racial composition is not a significant factor in the city's crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city could see further reductions in violent crime. The total number of violent crimes could potentially drop to around 15-18 incidents per year, with robbery and rape cases potentially reaching near-zero levels. Aggravated assault is likely to remain the primary concern but could decrease to around 10-12 cases annually.
In summary, Metropolis has shown a commendable trend of decreasing violent crime rates across all categories over the past decade. The consistent absence of murders, coupled with significant reductions in robbery, rape, and aggravated assault, paints a picture of a community becoming safer over time. These trends, when considered alongside the population changes and demographic shifts, suggest that the city has been effective in implementing crime prevention strategies and fostering community safety. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued well-being of its residents.
