Loading Content...
Manvel, Texas: Property Crime Trends Amid Rapid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Manvel, a city in Texas, has witnessed significant population growth and evolving property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased from 93 to 130 incidents, representing a 39.8% rise. During this same period, the population grew substantially from 16,891 to 28,909, a 71.1% increase. This disproportionate growth suggests that crime rates have not kept pace with population expansion.
Burglary trends in Manvel have shown a general decline over time. In 2010, there were 27 burglaries, which peaked at 80 in 2015, before decreasing to 24 in 2022. Despite the overall population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.60 in 2010 to 0.83 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.02% and 0.07% over the years. This downward trend in burglaries, particularly in relation to population growth, suggests improved security measures or changing criminal patterns within the city.
Larceny theft incidents have shown more variability. From 57 cases in 2010, the number increased to 94 in 2022, a 64.9% rise. However, when adjusted for population growth, the rate per 1,000 people actually decreased slightly from 3.37 in 2010 to 3.25 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft cases remained consistently low, ranging from 0.01% to 0.02%. This indicates that while the absolute number of larceny thefts has increased, it has largely kept pace with population growth, maintaining a relatively stable rate.
Motor vehicle theft in Manvel has shown an upward trend. From 9 incidents in 2010, it increased to 12 in 2022, a 33.3% rise. However, the rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.53 in 2010 to 0.42 in 2022 due to the population increase. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained low, consistently at 0.01% or 0.02%. This suggests that while motor vehicle thefts have increased in number, they have not outpaced population growth, indicating a relatively stable situation in this category of crime.
Arson cases in Manvel have been sporadic and relatively low in number. The data shows 3 cases in 2010, dropping to 0 in several years, and 2 cases reported in 2019. The city's contribution to state arson cases has fluctuated between 0% and 0.1%. Due to the low numbers, it's difficult to establish a clear trend, but it appears that arson is not a significant ongoing issue in the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As population density increased from 618 per square mile in 2010 to 1,058 in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in overall property crimes. However, this increase was not proportional to the population growth, suggesting other factors at play. The median income rose from $83,833 in 2013 to $85,813 in 2022, which coincided with fluctuations in property crime rates, but no clear correlation is evident.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the current patterns. Burglaries are likely to remain stable or slightly decrease, while larceny thefts may continue to show moderate increases. Motor vehicle thefts could see a slight upward trend, but are expected to remain relatively low compared to other property crimes. Arson cases are predicted to remain sporadic and low in number.
In summary, Manvel has experienced significant population growth while managing to keep property crime rates relatively stable. The most notable trends include a decrease in burglaries relative to population, a moderate increase in larceny thefts, and a slight uptick in motor vehicle thefts. These trends, when considered alongside the city's rapid growth, suggest a community that is effectively managing crime despite the challenges of expansion. The future outlook indicates a continued need for vigilance in crime prevention strategies, particularly in addressing larceny thefts, which have shown the most consistent increase over time.
