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Gulf Breeze, Florida: Violent Crime Trends Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gulf Breeze, located in Florida, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, with the number ranging from a low of 2 in 2014 to a high of 12 in 2017. Over this period, the population grew from 5,858 in 2010 to 6,397 in 2020, representing an increase of approximately 9.2%.
The murder rate in Gulf Breeze has remained relatively low throughout the observed period. From 2010 to 2020, there were only two reported murders: one in 2015 and another in 2019. This translates to a murder rate of approximately 0.16 per 1,000 residents in those years. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city was 0.16% in 2015 and 0.15% in 2019, indicating that Gulf Breeze contributed a minimal amount to Florida's overall murder statistics. The infrequent nature of murders in the city suggests that it remains a relatively safe community in this regard.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over time. The highest number of reported rapes was 3 in 2018, while several years (2013-2016, 2019) saw no reported incidents. The rape rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 0.47 in 2018. The city's contribution to state rape statistics fluctuated, with the highest percentage being 0.07% in 2018. This data suggests that while rape is not a prevalent issue in the city, there have been sporadic incidents that warrant attention.
Robbery trends in Gulf Breeze have been relatively low and inconsistent. The highest number of robberies reported was 2 in 2017, with several years showing no incidents at all. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents reached its peak at 0.32 in 2017. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has been minimal, with the highest percentage being 0.02% in 2017. These figures indicate that robbery is not a major concern for the city, with infrequent occurrences over the years.
Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 1 in 2014 to a high of 9 in 2016 and 2017. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 1.45 in 2017. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has been consistently low, with the highest percentage being 0.03% in 2016 and 2017. While aggravated assault remains the primary violent crime concern, its occurrence is still relatively low compared to larger urban areas.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with the city's racial composition. As the white population percentage decreased from 95% in 2013 to 86% in 2020, there was a slight increase in violent crime incidents. Concurrently, the Hispanic population grew from 1% to 8% during the same period. However, it's important to note that the overall crime numbers remain low, and this correlation does not imply causation.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential slight increase in overall violent crime incidents. Based on the historical data and current trends, the city might see an average of 8-10 violent crimes per year by 2029, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Gulf Breeze has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, despite some fluctuations. The most significant trend has been in aggravated assaults, while murders, rapes, and robberies have remained infrequent. As the city continues to grow and diversify, maintaining community safety initiatives and addressing potential factors contributing to violent crime will be crucial for preserving the overall low crime rates that Gulf Breeze has historically enjoyed.
