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Violent Crime Trends in Atlantis: A Decade of Improvement in Coastal Florida
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Atlantis, Florida, a small municipality with a population of 2,437 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 72.73%, from 11 incidents to 3. During this same period, the population increased by 6.18%, from 2,572 to 2,731 residents.
The murder rate in this city has remained consistently at zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's murders. This suggests that the city has maintained effective measures to prevent homicides despite demographic changes.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. There were no reported rapes from 2010 to 2011, 2013 to 2017, and 2019 to 2020. In 2012, there was one reported rape, and in 2018, there were two. The rape rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2018 at 0.65, corresponding to 0.05% of the state's total rapes that year. The inconsistent nature of these incidents makes it challenging to identify a clear trend, but it's evident that rape remains a rare occurrence in the city.
Robbery trends show a decrease over time. In 2010, there were 3 robberies, accounting for 0.02% of the state's total. By 2020, there were no reported robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.17 in 2010 to 0 in 2020. This decline in robberies, even as the population increased, suggests improved safety measures or changing socioeconomic conditions in the city.
Aggravated assault has shown the most variation among violent crimes in the city. In 2010, there were 8 cases, which decreased to 3 cases by 2020. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 3.11 in 2010 to 1.10 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults decreased from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2020. This overall downward trend in aggravated assaults, despite population growth, indicates improving public safety.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's changing demographic composition and violent crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 72% in 2013 to 64% in 2022, and the Hispanic population increased from 16% to 19% during the same period, violent crime rates generally declined. However, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and multiple factors likely contribute to crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that violent crime rates will continue to decrease slightly over the next five years, reaching approximately 2 incidents per year by 2029. This forecast suggests a continuation of the overall downward trend in violent crime that the city has experienced over the past decade.
In summary, Atlantis has shown a general improvement in public safety over the studied period, with significant decreases in most categories of violent crime despite population growth. The consistent absence of murders, the sporadic nature of rapes, the elimination of robberies, and the decrease in aggravated assaults all point to a city that has made strides in enhancing the safety of its residents. These trends, if they continue as predicted, suggest a positive outlook for public safety in the coming years.
