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Grandin, Missouri: Violent Crime Trends in a Shrinking Community
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Grandin, Missouri, is a small community that has experienced notable changes in its violent crime rates and population over recent years. From 2011 to 2013, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 2 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population declined from 176 to 132 residents, a 25% decrease.
Regarding murder trends, Grandin reported no murders throughout the observed period from 2011 to 2013. With zero incidents, the murder rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city contributed 0% to the state's total murders. This consistent absence of murders suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of homicides, despite the small population size.
Rape incidents in the city showed a decreasing trend. In 2011, there was one reported rape, which accounted for 0.09% of the state's total. However, by 2012 and 2013, no rapes were reported. The rape rate per 1,000 people went from approximately 5.68 in 2011 to 0 in subsequent years. This significant decrease could be seen as a positive development for the safety of residents, though the small population size means even a single incident can greatly impact statistics.
Robbery statistics for Grandin show no reported incidents from 2011 to 2013. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's robbery total was consistently 0%. This absence of robberies may indicate a low-risk environment for this type of crime, potentially contributing to residents' sense of security.
Aggravated assault cases in the city decreased over the observed period. In 2011 and 2012, there was one reported case each year, representing 0.01% of the state's total. By 2013, no aggravated assaults were reported. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from approximately 5.68 in 2011 to 6.76 in 2012 (due to population decrease), before falling to 0 in 2013. This trend suggests an improvement in public safety regarding violent confrontations.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 439 per square mile in 2011 to 329 in 2013, violent crimes also decreased from 2 to 0. This could suggest that lower population density may be associated with reduced violent crime in this small community.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the limited data available and the recent trends, it's projected that Grandin may continue to experience very low to zero violent crime rates. The decreasing population trend, if continued, could further contribute to maintaining these low crime rates. However, it's important to note that in such a small community, even a single incident could significantly impact the statistics.
In summary, Grandin has demonstrated a positive trend in reducing violent crimes from 2011 to 2013, with all categories of violent crime decreasing to zero by 2013. This trend, coupled with the declining population, suggests a potentially safer environment for residents. The correlation between decreasing population density and reduced crime rates is particularly noteworthy. These findings indicate that Grandin has made significant strides in improving public safety, which could be a crucial factor in the community's overall quality of life and future development.
