Robbery trends in the city have been minimal, with only three reported incidents over the 12-year period. One robbery was reported in 2014, three in 2015, and one in 2020. This translates to rates of 0.17, 0.52, and 0.20 per 1,000 residents in those years, respectively. The percentage of state robberies attributable to the city peaked at 0.06% in 2015, dropping to 0.03% in 2020, indicating a very low contribution to the state's overall robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated significantly, from a high of 9 in 2011 to a low of 1 in 2016 and 2019. The rate per 1,000 residents varied accordingly, peaking at 1.62 in 2011 and reaching its lowest point of 0.17 in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases ranged from 0.01% to 0.04% over the years, with the highest percentage occurring in 2011 and 2015.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. For instance, in 2016, when the population density was at its highest (999 per square mile), the city experienced its lowest number of violent crimes (1). Conversely, in 2015, with a slightly lower density of 965 per square mile, the city saw 10 violent crimes, its highest in the period.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Dresden will likely remain low and relatively stable over the next five years, extending to 2029. The sporadic nature of violent crimes in the city suggests that while individual years may see slight increases or decreases, the overall trend is expected to maintain its current low levels.

In summary, Dresden has demonstrated a generally low and decreasing trend in violent crimes from 2010 to 2022, despite minor population growth. The city's contribution to Tennessee's violent crime statistics remains minimal across all categories. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and fluctuating but generally low rates of aggravated assault characterize the violent crime landscape in this small Tennessee town. These trends, coupled with the stable population, suggest that Dresden is likely to continue experiencing relatively low levels of violent crime in the near future.