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Essex, Missouri: Stable Violent Crime Rates Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Essex, Missouri, a small urban area, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates alongside population changes over recent years. From 2011 to 2015, the total number of violent crimes remained relatively stable, ranging from 1 to 3 incidents annually. During this period, the population grew from 623 in 2011 to 780 in 2015, representing a 25.2% increase.
Regarding murder trends, Essex reported no incidents of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter throughout the period for which data is available (2011-2015). This consistent zero-murder rate is noteworthy, especially considering the population growth. The percentage of state crime for murder remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating that the city did not contribute to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city showed some variation. In 2011, there was one reported rape case, representing 0.09% of the state's total. However, no rapes were reported in 2013 and 2014. In 2015, another rape case was reported, accounting for 0.05% of the state's total. The rape rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.61 in 2011 to 1.28 in 2015, despite the population increase.
Robbery trends in Essex were minimal. No robberies were reported in 2011 and 2013. In 2014 and 2015, one robbery was reported each year, representing 0.02% of the state's total robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 0 in 2011 to 1.28 in 2015, reflecting the occurrence of these incidents in a growing population.
Aggravated assault cases remained relatively stable, with 2 cases in 2011, 1 case each in 2013 and 2014, and 1 case in 2015. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault remained consistently low at 0.01% from 2013 to 2015. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 3.21 in 2011 to 1.28 in 2015, indicating a relative improvement in public safety despite population growth.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,156 per square mile in 2011 to 2,699 per square mile in 2015, the total number of violent crimes remained relatively stable, suggesting that the city managed to maintain public safety despite growing denser.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's projected that Essex will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). The city's consistent performance in managing violent crime, despite population growth, suggests a continuation of this trend. However, as the population continues to change, there may be slight fluctuations in the number of incidents, particularly in categories like robbery and aggravated assault.
In summary, Essex has demonstrated a relatively stable violent crime environment from 2011 to 2015, with low rates across all categories despite significant population growth. The most notable trends include the absence of murders, fluctuating but low rape incidents, and minimal robbery cases. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates while experiencing population growth suggests effective law enforcement and community safety measures. As Essex continues to evolve, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the community's overall well-being and attractiveness to potential residents and businesses.
