Loading Content...
Eden's Property Crime Decline: A Decade of Progress
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Eden, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased significantly by 54.6%, from 834 to 379 incidents. This substantial reduction occurred despite a relatively stable population, which only decreased by 5.4% from 20,188 to 19,088 over the same period.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a marked decline over the years. In 2010, there were 232 burglaries, which decreased to 79 in 2022, representing a 66% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 11.5 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 4.1 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, while burglaries decreased overall, the city's share of state burglaries fluctuated. It dropped from 0.43% in 2010 to 0.32% in 2022, but peaked at 0.63% in 2018, suggesting periods where the city's burglary reduction outpaced or lagged behind state trends.
Larceny theft also experienced a significant decline. In 2010, there were 556 incidents, which reduced to 290 in 2022, a 47.8% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 27.5 in 2010 to 15.2 in 2022. The city's proportion of state larceny thefts decreased from 0.43% to 0.24% over this period, indicating that the reduction in larceny theft in the city outpaced the state's overall trend.
Motor vehicle theft showed a substantial decrease, from 46 incidents in 2010 to 10 in 2022, a 78.3% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 2.3 in 2010 to 0.5 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased dramatically from 0.44% to 0.07%, suggesting that the city made significant progress in reducing this type of crime compared to the state average.
Arson cases in the city fluctuated over the years but remained relatively low. From no reported cases in 2010, it peaked at 7 cases in 2020 before decreasing to 2 cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people went from 0 in 2010 to 0.1 in 2022. The city's proportion of state arson cases varied considerably, reaching a high of 1.01% in 2018 before dropping to 0.23% in 2022.
Analysis of correlations reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate negative correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $32,750 in 2013 to $43,411 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between the percentage of Black residents (which increased from 22% in 2013 to 24% in 2022) and property crime rates, though this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now), we can expect the overall downward trend to continue, albeit at a slower rate. Based on the current trends, we might anticipate total property crimes to decrease to around 300-325 incidents per year by 2029.
In summary, Eden has made significant strides in reducing property crime over the past decade. The substantial decreases in burglary, larceny theft, and motor vehicle theft, often outpacing state trends, suggest effective local crime prevention strategies. The correlation with rising median incomes points to potential socioeconomic factors influencing crime rates. As the city continues to evolve, maintaining focus on economic development and targeted crime prevention could further solidify these positive trends in Eden.
