Robbery trends show minimal occurrences over the years. There was one reported robbery in 2013, representing 0.02% of the state's total, and another in 2022, accounting for 0.03% of the state's robberies. These incidents translate to rates of 0.25 and 0.29 per 1,000 people in 2013 and 2022, respectively. The infrequency of robberies suggests that this crime is not a major concern for the community.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in East Prairie. In 2012, there were 14 cases, representing 0.09% of the state's total. This number decreased significantly to 1 case in 2013 (0.01% of state total), rose to 6 cases in 2016 and 2017 (0.04% and 0.03% of state total, respectively), dropped to 1 case in 2020 (0.01% of state total), and then increased to 9 cases in 2022 (0.05% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated from 3.56 in 2012 to 2.58 in 2022, showing an overall decrease despite the recent uptick.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates in East Prairie. As the population density decreased from 3,141 per square mile in 2012 to 2,792 per square mile in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also showed a general downward trend, despite some fluctuations. Additionally, there seems to be a relationship between the racial composition and crime rates. The percentage of white residents increased slightly from 92% in 2013 to 94% in 2022, while the percentage of residents identifying as two or more races increased from 0% to 5% during the same period. This demographic shift coincided with changes in crime rates, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further study.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in East Prairie may continue to fluctuate but are likely to remain relatively low over the next five years (up to 2029). The city may experience occasional spikes in specific crime categories, particularly aggravated assaults, but these are expected to be isolated incidents rather than indicative of a long-term upward trend.

In summary, East Prairie has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common form of violent crime. The recent occurrence of a murder in 2022 is noteworthy but should be viewed in the context of the city's small population. The community's changing demographics and decreasing population density appear to have some correlation with crime trends, but overall, the city has managed to keep violent crime levels relatively stable despite these changes.