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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Donelson Hills, a vibrant neighborhood in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government, Tennessee, has experienced significant changes in its housing market over the past decade. This analysis focuses on the shifting dynamics of homeownership rates and property values in the area. The homeownership rate in Donelson Hills has shown a declining trend since 2013. In 2013, the ownership percentage stood at 77%, but by 2022, it had decreased to 60%. This 17% drop in homeownership coincided with a remarkable increase in average home prices. In 2013, the average home price was $141,052, which steadily rose to $402,109 by 2022, representing a 185% increase over nine years. This inverse relationship between homeownership rates and average home prices suggests that rising property values may have made homeownership less attainable for some residents.
Federal interest rates have played a role in shaping homeownership trends in Donelson Hills. From 2013 to 2016, when interest rates were at historic lows (0.11% to 0.40%), homeownership rates remained relatively stable, ranging from 77% to 78%. However, as interest rates began to rise from 2017 (1.00%) to 2019 (2.16%), homeownership rates started to decline more rapidly, dropping from 76% to 70%. This trend aligns with the general principle that higher interest rates can make mortgages less affordable, potentially discouraging homeownership.
As homeownership rates declined, the percentage of renters in Donelson Hills increased from 20% in 2013 to 40% in 2022. This shift coincided with a significant rise in average rent prices. In 2013, the average rent was $957, which increased to $1,335 by 2022, a 39.5% increase. The growing renter population and rising rent prices suggest an increasing demand for rental properties in the area, possibly driven by those unable to afford homeownership due to rising property values.
Looking at the most recent data, average home prices in Donelson Hills continued to rise in 2023 and 2024, reaching $413,218 and $423,274 respectively. This represents a 2.8% increase from 2022 to 2023 and a further 2.4% increase from 2023 to 2024. Interestingly, these price increases occurred despite a significant rise in federal interest rates, which reached 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. This suggests a strong underlying demand for housing in the area, potentially driven by factors such as job growth or neighborhood desirability.
Based on the observed trends, we can predict that average home prices in Donelson Hills will continue to rise over the next five years, albeit at a potentially slower rate due to high interest rates. We might expect average home prices to reach approximately $475,000 to $500,000 by 2029. Similarly, average rent prices are likely to continue their upward trajectory, potentially reaching $1,500 to $1,600 per month by 2029.
In summary, Donelson Hills has experienced a significant shift in its housing market over the past decade. The decline in homeownership rates, coupled with substantial increases in both average home prices and average rent prices, paints a picture of a neighborhood becoming increasingly expensive for both buyers and renters. The resilience of property values in the face of rising interest rates suggests a strong local housing market, but also raises questions about long-term affordability for residents.